Well fine. Fred can cling to “anything is possible”, but right now it doesn’t look good. Why isn’t he a first choice?
Because of people like you who decide that the current polls are the only thing that matters? Especially from FOX, who as a network is pulling so hard for Giuliani that they ought to declare themselves an "in-kind contribution" to his campaign?
Fact is, he's out there in Iowa campaigning hard. The pre-Christmas numbers from reliable sources show that he's making string gains. He's building momentum up to the crucial day -- the day when votes are cast.
My prediction is that Huckabee does far worse than expected and Thompson does far better than expected. He doesn't have to place first in Iowa to have a big "win" there.