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Amid Iowa Caucuses, Giuliani Stays In Fla.
The Associated Press ^ | January 3, 2008 | staff

Posted on 01/03/2008 11:01:00 AM PST by Baladas

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To: JohnnyZ

All the better.


41 posted on 01/03/2008 2:07:37 PM PST by LexBaird (Behold, thou hast drinken of the Aide of Kool, and are lost unto Men.)
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To: JohnnyZ
The people who think Rudy has any shot at the nomination are clueless.

He will sweep the Blue States. That will get him close.By that time, some of these other "extras" will be broke. And this wont go to a brokered convention most likely, not with backroom swapping of candidates and whatnot before the convention.. IMO.

42 posted on 01/03/2008 2:08:22 PM PST by Nonstatist
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To: LexBaird

So, at that point, delegates can vote however they choose, correct?


43 posted on 01/03/2008 2:17:19 PM PST by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: LexBaird

Good example. I agree California is hard to call. The districts are very different. And I wouldn’t leave Ron Paul out of that entirely. His campaign (along with Giuliani’s) have been working the smaller Democrat-heavy districts to take advantage of the new method of counting delegates. Only time will tell if they are successful.


44 posted on 01/03/2008 2:20:34 PM PST by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: LexBaird

> Assuming the Congressional districts split in a similar
> manner, Rudy gets nowhere near 173 delegates out of CA.

> Rudy 25.7
> Huck 16.3
...

Just because Rudy only has 26% of the vote doesn’t mean that he will only get 26% of the delegates. If he is ahead in every district, he will get them all.


45 posted on 01/03/2008 2:46:19 PM PST by KeithCu
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To: calcowgirl
So, at that point, delegates can vote however they choose, correct?

If by "choose" you mean extorted, arm twisted, bought off and quid pro quoed into line, I guess so. The Rules just say that votes are called until a majority is reached. IIRC, Lincoln's nomination took over 100 ballots.

46 posted on 01/03/2008 2:47:39 PM PST by LexBaird (Behold, thou hast drinken of the Aide of Kool, and are lost unto Men.)
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To: Greg F

Plenty in Orlando.


47 posted on 01/03/2008 2:54:47 PM PST by My Favorite Headache (No One Gets To Their Heaven Without A Fight)
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To: KeithCu

True enough, but it’s the best indicator we have. Gut feeling is Rudy takes the hard core urban areas, Romney the suburbs, McCain and/or Hunter take the military bases, Fred in the more Central Valley and rural districts, and Huck suffers for his immigration and foreign policy stances, fades before the 5th. Paul picks up Mount Shasta, due to harmonic convergence.


48 posted on 01/03/2008 2:56:47 PM PST by LexBaird (Behold, thou hast drinken of the Aide of Kool, and are lost unto Men.)
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