Trends.... are what they are if others aren’t watching the polls.
The PROBLEM with polls NOW is that there are a lot of people who are solely basing their voting upon those polls. So, the more the “trend” shows something going in one direction, the more you’re going to pull in to VOTE in the “trendy manner”.
It’s a fact, talk to people around you are semi-ignorant of politics and ask them about who they are voting for and why. You will discover a good majority of them are doing it “because everyone else is”. So, disagree all you like, and certainly under other circumstances (less communications, less information available than we have today!) then you’d be right, but in this case, you’re wrong.
“It’s a fact, talk to people around you are semi-ignorant of politics and ask them about who they are voting for and why. You will discover a good majority of them are doing it “because everyone else is”.”
Well then, that would imply that the polls are correct. If the polls show McCain surging and that adds to his surge, then the poll is in fact correct. I don’t care if you believe the polls or not, but they got it right in Iowa, and my guess is they’ll get it right, or pretty close in NH. Were you one of the folks here in Nov 2006 insisting the GOP would keep the senate and the house because the polls were all bogus? Or are you a Fred Head who is having a hard time facing the fact that he’s tanking?