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Super Tuesday Math: Far, Far From Over
hughhewitt.townhall.com ^ | 01/30/2008 | Hugh Hewitt

Posted on 01/30/2008 4:03:15 PM PST by Checkers

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1 posted on 01/30/2008 4:03:19 PM PST by Checkers
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To: Scarchin; Rb ver. 2.0; Bird Jenkins; Y Ceratotherium; WOSG; jschner; patriciaruth; ...

ping


2 posted on 01/30/2008 4:04:23 PM PST by Checkers (I'd say John McCain is a Dick Nixon, but Nixon didn't hate Republicans.)
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To: Checkers

“And if the Huckabee voters look at the reality and see they are voting for McCain when they vote for Huck, anything can happen.”

This point must be made every chance Romney gets...


3 posted on 01/30/2008 4:05:25 PM PST by GOPRaleigh ("John McCain is Bob Dole minus the charm, conservatism and youth.” -Ann Coulter)
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To: Checkers

Hugh perverted himself early on like a pimp for a drug induced pig. His influence is measurably laughable. He ain’t a conservative by any sense of the measure.


4 posted on 01/30/2008 4:05:39 PM PST by commonguymd (Now What. No real conservative in the race.)
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To: Checkers
Good analysis. With any luck...meaning not the worst case scenario painted here...Romney could come out of Super Tuesday with close to 500 delegates to McCain's 600 or more. That would keep the contest open and provide Mitt with more chance to overcome McCain.

Admitteldy, with Rudy's endorsement and with Huckabee's actions basically spoiling for McCain, it is going to be a very, very difficult road to hoe. Almost insurmountable it seems, but still worth the effort IMHO, even if Romney is my 3rd choice. Still a better choice, IMHO, than McCain.

5 posted on 01/30/2008 4:09:03 PM PST by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: GOPRaleigh

The Huck voters are largely politically tone deaf, they will not see their vote as helping McCain.


6 posted on 01/30/2008 4:10:47 PM PST by Azzurri
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To: Checkers

Here is my problem with Hugh’s otherwise “fair enough” reasoning:

Historically, the perceived “winner” of most early delegates (and McCain has a plurality, if not “most”) IMPROVES HIS STANDING in the remaining states. For some reason, people want to vote for a winner ... which is silly, perhaps ...

Point is, if history is a guide, McCain is likely to improve his “numbers,” absent some new, hard-hitting attacks on him by opponents or the media — or a gaffe/ scandal not previously known.

I wish it were otherwise, Hugh, but ...


7 posted on 01/30/2008 4:11:11 PM PST by pogo101
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To: GOPRaleigh
And if the Huckabee voters look at the reality and see they are voting for McCain when they vote for Huck, anything can happen.

The Huckabee voters wouldn't know reality if it hit them in the face.

8 posted on 01/30/2008 4:14:35 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: Checkers

I only did this math weeks ago, but thanks for catching up Hugh.


9 posted on 01/30/2008 4:16:00 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: Checkers
Romney needs to find a way to get Huckabee out. Ron Paul too.

If prayer works, someone can try that. I'm not a prayer.

10 posted on 01/30/2008 4:16:10 PM PST by Cold Heat (Mitt....2008)
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To: commonguymd
Hugh perverted himself early on like a pimp for a drug induced pig. His influence is measurably laughable. He ain’t a conservative by any sense of the measure.

Well that's a bit strong. Hewitt is truly a conservative.

OTOH you are correct, I believe, about his influence. Hewitt tends to be overly optimistic about the chances of the candidates (and the party) he supports and this leads me to discount anything he says including this article.

I used to listen to Hewitt and Medved in the afternoons out here on the Left Coast. No longer. Medved is pimp for McPain, Hewitt is not to be believed and they both run so many commercials and breaks for the weather and traffic that there just isn't any continuity to their shows any longer.

For me it is Rush and FR.

11 posted on 01/30/2008 4:18:17 PM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: Checkers

I wonder how fresh these polls are. Super Tuesday ought to be a chaotic day. If Romney has any money left in his coffers, he’d better start spending it now. He also had better hit a grand friggin’ slam tonight if he wants to stop the McCain juggernaut.


12 posted on 01/30/2008 4:21:20 PM PST by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Hugh went hard for Mitt early on knowing the strategy of the Republican establishment was for McCain. Mitt was hardly a conservative and the split with the social conservatives lent an opening for McCain to walk through. Conservatives were already apprehensive about Mitt.


13 posted on 01/30/2008 4:22:46 PM PST by commonguymd (Now What. No real conservative in the race.)
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To: Checkers

Thanks for the numbers. I was just going to look for them. This race is far from over.


14 posted on 01/30/2008 4:27:59 PM PST by Utah Girl
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To: Checkers

The truth about Mr. Amnesty needs to get out to the voters that vote but haven’t paid attention the past year to what McCain has done!


15 posted on 01/30/2008 4:35:16 PM PST by jan in Colorado ("It's easier to believe a lie one hears 1,000 times than to believe a fact that one has never heard)
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To: Jeff Head

It’s over.


16 posted on 01/30/2008 4:47:04 PM PST by DogandPonyShow (America, the Light of the World.)
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To: The Pack Knight

I was wondering whether Romney should step it up a notch and fork out the big bucks to air an ad during the Superbowl.


17 posted on 01/30/2008 4:52:36 PM PST by Hoodat (The whole point of the Conservative Movement is to gain converts, not demonize them.)
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To: GOPRaleigh
“And if the Huckabee voters look at the reality and see they are voting for McCain when they vote for Huck, anything can happen.”


18 posted on 01/30/2008 4:56:32 PM PST by icwhatudo ("Better a convert than a traitor"...WOSG)
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To: GOPRaleigh

Given his adament refusal to speak ill of McCain, I’m convinced Huck fancies himself a potential VP...I’m also convince McCain will crush his dreams like the quarterback ditches the ugly girl with a crush.


19 posted on 01/30/2008 4:57:24 PM PST by WillRain ("Might have been the losing side, still not convinced it was the wrong one.")
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To: Hoodat

That’d be a bold move, though I think it would backfire. Americans like to compartmentalize, and most don’t like mixing sports and politics.


20 posted on 01/30/2008 5:00:02 PM PST by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country.)
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