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"The Nation" Thinks Demographic Winter is a Pro-Natalist Conspiracy
Grasstops USA ^ | February 25, 2008 | Don Feder

Posted on 02/25/2008 6:59:43 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks

According to Kathryn Joyce, sneer-and-smear artist for The Nation, those who are concerned about the worldwide decline in birthrates are -- to put it mildly -- racist, neo-Nazis, who have a hidden agenda and (under the guise of demographic winter) are engaged in our age-old quest to control women's bodies.

The Nation is this nation's oldest and largest-circulation leftwing journal (outside of The New York Times, of course). Joyce's screed, "Missing: The 'Right' Babies," will appear in the March 3 print edition, but is currently available online.

Joyce believes -- with the faith of one immune to facts and logic -- that those sounding the alarm about plummeting fertility rates care only about the inability of white Europeans to replace themselves. We're trying to whip up xenophobia against the continent's rising Muslim tide. Thus, demographic winter is the invention of a vast Christian conspiracy to get Europeans to start making babies again.

Joyce has religion on the brain. (As a child, perhaps she was bitten by a Gospel singer.)

One of the grand conspirators cited in her piece, Steve Mosher, is described as "the president of the Catholic anti-contraception lobbyist group, Population Research Institute." Christine de Vollmer of the Latin American Alliance for the Family is "Catholic activist de Vollmer," while Austin Ruse is "head of the ultraconservative Catholic UN lobbyist group C-Fam." Not just a Catholic, but an ultra-conservative Catholic? That's pretty serious.

Joyce further notes that: "The last two popes have involved themselves in the debate, with John Paul II pronouncing a 'crisis in births' in 2002 in an anomalous papal address to Italy's Parliament and Benedict XVI remarking on the 'tragedy' of childless European couples." As if papal involvement was enough to discredit the concept.

But the conspiracy spans the religious spectrum, making it all the more sinister, Joyce informs us.

Rick Stout and Barry McLerran --respectively the director and the producer of the new documentary "Demographic Winter: the decline of the human family" -- "are among hundreds of Mormon pro-family activists (They're everywhere. They're everywhere!) who have made common cause with conservative Catholics and evangelical ideologues."

One envisions little Katie as Dorothy in a lefty version of "The Wizard of Oz," treading fearfully through a creepy family-values forest whispering: "Catholics and Mormons and evangelicals -- oh, my!"

There's little to support her fantasies in "Demographic Winter." The documentary's experts are overwhelmingly academics -- demographers, sociologists and a Nobel laureate in economics -- from institutions like the University of Chicago and University of Virginia. Most of the scholars don't think of themselves as particularly religious.

Another focus of Joyce's paranoia is the World Congress of Families, which held its fourth Congress in 2007 in Poland, "a heavily Catholic bastion (there she goes again) of conservatism amid the gay friendly EU." According to the author, under the leadership of the "extremist Kaczynski brothers," Poland has "shifted to the far right, embracing a social conservatism that aggressively targets gays, Jews, women's rights and foreigners."

On my two visits to Poland, I saw no signs of anti-Semitism. For a feminist like Joyce, a nation that does not encourage partial-birth abortions in the ninth month and celebrate transgenderism in the public schools is a bulwark of bigotry.

Joyce finds the World Congress of Families -- a gathering of pro-family leaders, scholars, activists and parliamentarians -- particularly ominous. She quotes Jennifer Butler (author of "Born Again: The Christian Right Globalized") who "has tracked the rise of the international Christian right with apprehension." Butler tells Joyce, "You can't underestimate what they can do" -- as if the latter needed convincing.

It's alright for American feminists to use the United Nations to force the left's social agenda on the developing world. It's OK for "progressives" from this side of the pond to work with the European Union to advance homosexual rights. But for U.S. social conservatives to talk to pro-family forces in Europe is sinister and manipulative -- the dreaded globalization of the Christian Right.

If World Congress of Families is the holy alliance pushing a pro-family agenda, demographic winter is the nativist wedge issue conspirators are using to drive cosmopolitan Europeans to start rocking cradles again.

Joyce contends that "the baby-bust," "the birth dearth," and "the graying of the continent" are "modern euphemisms for old-fashioned race panic as low fertility rates among white 'Western' couples coincides with an increasingly visible immigrant population across Europe."

Joyce shamelessly engages in guilt by association, when she notes that "Mussolini's fertility project... attacked bachelors, rewarded mothers of many children, criminalized abortion and banned contraception." Along the same lines, she cites Nazi efforts to raise the birth rate in the Third Reich as a further indictment of advocates of large families.

Of course the Nazis wanted more little Aryans. Wars aren't won by nations with shrinking populations. If Roe v. Wade and the pill had been around in the 1920s, we would have been lucky to land a platoon on Omaha Beach.

The Nazis also wanted to de-populate conquered lands. The Slavs, who the Nazis despised as untermenchen, were a special target. To imply that a desire to raise fertility rates is somehow comparable to Nazism, is like saying that because China has a one-child-per-family policy, Planned Parenthood is part of the politburo.

We're the racists, but they're the ones flooding the Third World with contraceptives and pushing abortion, which, alas, do not depress the white birthrate.

Speaking of Nazis, Planned Parenthood founder Margaret Sanger, their prophetess, considered non-Aryans "a great biological menace to the future of civilization."

Ever wonder why blacks, who comprise 12% of the population, account for 32% of all abortions? (For Hispanics, the figures are 13% and 20%.) Might it have something to do with all of the abortion clinics conveniently located in inner-city neighborhoods?

The "Demographic Winter" documentary, which Joyce hasn't seen, (her critique is based on viewing a 3-minute online trailer) has only the briefest mention of emigration -- as a negative for developing countries, which are seeing their youth siphoned off to provide labor for the lands of the childless.

Immigration or emigration has never been a topic of discussion at a World Congress of Families, which draws participants from Africa, Asia and Latin America as well as Europe and the United States. World Congress of Families III was held in Mexico City. One possible location for WCF V is Nigeria.

Europe is frequently the focus of discussions of demographic winter because it's there that the effects are most stark. But proponents are quick to note that birth rates are falling everywhere.

In less than 40 years, the world's total fertility rate (the number of children the average woman will bear in her lifetime), has dropped from 6 to 2.9. By the middle of this century, worldwide fertility will hit 2.05 -- well below replacement. That forecast is from the United Nations Population Division (UNPD), which -- at last report -- had not been co-opted by the vast Catholic-Mormon-evangelical conspiracy.

More interesting than what's in The Nation article (innuendo, ad hominem, paranoia) is what's missing. In a piece running several thousand words, Joyce mentions exactly one statistic -- in paragraph 3, where she notes that 2.1 children per couple is the "estimated 'replacement-level fertility' for developed nations." That's it.

For someone trying to debunk demographic winter, statistics aren't just inconvenient; they're intimidating. So Joyce simply avoids any discussion of the evidence.

Smart move on her part. How do you argue away the fact that (again, according to the United Nations) 59 countries with 44% of the world's population now have below-replacement fertility?

For the European Union as a whole, the birthrate is 1.5. Population-wise, the continent is disappearing so fast that even mass immigration can't save it. The EU estimates that, if current trends continue, there will be a shortage of 20 million young workers by 2030.

In the face of this looming catastrophe, EU bureaucrats are engaged in a relentless campaign of promoting same-sex marriage. Ah that "gay friendly EU." What is the fertility rate of homosexual couples, anyway?

Back in the real world, Russia is losing roughly 700,000 people a year. (Motherless Russia now has more abortions than live births each year.) Its population of 143 million is expected to shrivel to 112 million by the middle of this century. With that number, it will be impossible for the Russians to hold the largest land mass of any nation, which will result in a free-for-all land-grab that throws the entire region into chaos.

It's not just Europe where children are disappearing. In the 1970s, the average Filipino woman had 6 children. Today, the number is 2.8 -- expected to decline to 2 by 2030. Mexico has only a replacement level fertility rate of 2.1. (Where will The Nation's readers find their future gardeners and cleaning ladies?) Iran is the first nation in the Middle East to achieve below-replacement fertility.

Most Third World countries are still growing, but it is here that the fall in birth rates has been most pronounced. Egypt's birth rate went from 7.3 in the 1960s to 3.7 today. It too will be below replacement by the middle of this century.

The UN estimates that by 2050 there will be 248 million fewer children in the world than there are today. Those children who never were in turn won't have children of their own, and so on, leading to accelerating population decline in many areas.

If you've decided not to deal with reality, because to do so might cast doubt on your cherished isms, you don't have to consider the consequences of the world that's coming -- a world where the cries of babies and the laughter of children fade away.

Take Japan. Remember back in the 1980s when we were calling it Japan, Inc? The Japanese were an unstoppable economic juggernaut, the coming superpower. They'd bought Rockefeller Center and were well on their way to owning everything else.

Japan Inc.'s stock soared for a time -- until the Rising Sun began to shuffle off into the sunset of Banzai Retirement Community. During the 1990s through 2005, the Japanese stock market fell 80% from its all-time high. At the same time, the Japanese real estate market lost 60% of its value.

Why has economic decline hit Japan so fast? Unlike America, the Japanese never had a post-War baby boom. Their birth rate now is an anemic 1.25, among the 10 lowest in the world.

In 1989, 11.6% of Japan's population was 65 or older. By 2007, the percentage of seniors had risen to 21.2 -- the highest in the world. Thriving economies aren't propelled by rapidly aging populations.

Throughout the developed world, the population is growing gray and slow of gait. Today, 20% are over 60 years of age. This is expected to rise to 32% by 2050. UNPD tells us that then there will be two elderly for every child. Schools will be turned into nursing homes. Playgrounds will become graveyards.

Among the questions we're not supposed to ask are these: How can pensions for a growing number of retirees be financed by a shrinking workforce? Who covers their increasingly pricy medical bills? How long before euthanasia -- voluntary and involuntary -- becomes universal?

Pity the average child born in Italy today -- without brothers and sisters, aunts, uncles and cousins. The self-indulgence (bordering on self-obsession) of this generation has bought loneliness and economic decline -- perhaps the twilight of civilization -- for those who will follow us.

The Nation is shorthand for what's led us here: women and men sacrificing families for careers (delayed marriage, no marriage, cohabitation), easy divorce, abortion (each year, worldwide, a woman's "right to choose" wipes out the equivalent of the population of Italy), and materialistic lifestyles.

Yet The Nation's readers sit with their sterile wombs or male non-reproductive organs, seething because someone (Catholics? Mormons?), somewhere wonders who's minding the nursery.

Kathryn Joyce calls the effort to awaken a slumbering humanity "a 'clash of civilizations' to be fought through women's bodies, with the maternity ward as the battleground." Cute.

Rather than a clash of civilizations, it's the left's worldview against civilization -- an old story.

While they squawk about manmade global warming, and demand sacrifice for the planet, they rail at those who are trying to warn the sentient beings who inhabit the planet that their future is increasingly bleak -- due not to SUVs but IUDs, and the rest of a contraceptive, anti-procreation culture.


TOPICS: Australia/New Zealand; Business/Economy; Canada; Culture/Society; Editorial; Germany; Israel; Mexico; News/Current Events; Russia; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: abortion; birthrates; catholics; contraception; cultureofdeath; demographics; demographicwinter; donfeder; evangelicals; kathrynjoyce; lifehate; mormons; narcissism; populationcontrol; religion; stevenmosher; theleft; thenation

1 posted on 02/25/2008 6:59:45 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks
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To: 3D-JOY; abner; Abundy; AGreatPer; Albion Wilde; AliVeritas; alisasny; ALlRightAllTheTime; ...

PING!


2 posted on 02/25/2008 7:03:45 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Cloverfield 2008! Why vote for a lesser monster?)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
Kathryn Joyce: Perhaps the craziest femiNazi ****-for-brains barking mega-moonbat on the earth. A raving delusional intellectual thug. Virulently anti-Christian bigot.


3 posted on 02/25/2008 7:10:31 PM PST by FormerACLUmember (When the past no longer illuminates the future, the spirit walks in darkness.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
More interesting than what's in The Nation article (innuendo, ad hominem, paranoia)

Isn't this typical of the crap spewed by Katrina vanden Heuvel's Marxist rag?

4 posted on 02/25/2008 7:13:05 PM PST by RoadKingSE (How do you know that the light at the end of the tunnel isn't a muzzle flash?)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

I’ve always wondered what nation “the nation” was named after.


5 posted on 02/25/2008 7:16:29 PM PST by Eagles6
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
"the United Nations Population Division (UNPD), which -- at last report -- had not been co-opted by the vast Catholic-Mormon-evangelical conspiracy"

This is one SERIOUSLY delusional bizarre person.

With what are technically termed "crazy eyes" and inappropriate affect.


6 posted on 02/25/2008 7:20:28 PM PST by FormerACLUmember (When the past no longer illuminates the future, the spirit walks in darkness.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

“Rick Stout and Barry McLerran —respectively the director and the producer of the new documentary “Demographic Winter: the decline of the human family” — “are among hundreds of Mormon pro-family activists (They’re everywhere. They’re everywhere!) who have made common cause with conservative Catholics and evangelical ideologues.”

Cool. I did my part. Now it’s the next generation’s job. Oh, wait...you say you already have a job? Well, at least the population control freaks will be happy.


7 posted on 02/25/2008 7:23:04 PM PST by sageb1 (This is the Final Crusade. There are only 2 sides. Pick one.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks; Monkey Face; Tax-chick; fanfan; rottndog; NicknamedBob
Look out! Look out!
Evangelicals on parade
Here they come!
Hippety hoppety
They're here and there
Evangelicals ev'rywhere

Look out! Look out!
They're walking around the bed
On their head
Clippety cloppety
Arrayed in braid
Evangelicals on parade

What'll I do? What'll I do?
What an unusual view!

I could stand the sight of worms
And look at microscopic germs
But traditional values make me squirm
It's really too much for me

I am not the type to faint
When things are odd or things are quaint
But things to which I can't relate
Can certainly give me an awful fright!
What a sight!

Chase 'em away!
Chase 'em away!
I'm afraid need your aid
Evangelicals on parade!

Evangelicals!

Evangelicals!

VIDEO

... with a ping out to a few at the UT. ;-)

8 posted on 02/25/2008 7:32:58 PM PST by HKMk23 (TAG! You're IT!!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
Total projection on The Nation's part.
9 posted on 02/25/2008 7:36:58 PM PST by denydenydeny (Expel the priest and you don't inaugurate the age of reason, you get the witch doctor--Paul Johnson)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
So long as LEFTISTS ABORT THEIRS, we'll always win in the long run.
10 posted on 02/25/2008 8:01:03 PM PST by Uncle Miltie (New York Times Endorsed!!!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Typical of the Euro-centrist views (appropriate in this case) of the left that they have an obsession with the statist RC Church.


11 posted on 02/25/2008 8:02:59 PM PST by Clemenza (I live in New Jersey for the Same Reason People Slow Down to Look at Car Wrecks)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Idiots v Idiots.

Anti-religious bigots and perverted individualists v. silly old hens who have the arrogance to think that they have to convince people to have sex.

Truly a world gone mad.


12 posted on 02/25/2008 8:13:10 PM PST by Natchez Hawk (What's so funny about the first, second, and fourth Amendments?)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

The solution for a 1st world nation facing a low birthrate is straightforward. To begin with, when nations reach an economic plateau of prosperity, which varies between nations, the birthrate typically falls to between 2.1 and 2.3 children per family, which is called the “replacement rate”, because it will balance births and deaths.

(The most recent nation to achieve this plateau is Mexico, to my knowledge, which means that as a nation, they have moved from the top of the “3rd world” to the bottom of the “2nd world” status economically.)

Importantly, when you have a nation at this plateau, its government cannot raise its birthrate, compared to cultural factors; however, its government and culture can certainly *lower* its birthrate even further.

This has happened throughout the developed world. For both governmental and cultural reasons, pressure is put on parents who would typically have between 2.1 and 2.3 children, to have fewer children.

While having children is a difficult and expensive proposition in the best of times, government and culture can add so many demands that many people will decide to just have a single child, or no children at all.

Often these demands are “quality of life” mandates, surrounding material goods, expensive educational standards, and strong expectations surrounding their upbringing. For each and every one of these, more parents will have less children.

Government, especially, piles on new demands at a frightening pace, but is always surprised by people avoiding compliance by not having children. Their solution to the low birthrate is, invariably, more government, not less.

This is why culture, especially religious culture, needs to intervene. Using their religious status as a shield against obtrusive government, they can produce and raise their children in the absence of many bureaucratic decrees. This can give them the incentive, the support, and the protection they need to have larger families.

Perhaps the largest example of this are the Mormons, who emphasize both the family unit and procreation to the ability of parents, accompanied by community support for families, instead of efforts to inhibit them.

But while most religions have this as an option, few have the internal cohesion and community to provide an opening for their members to avoid intrusive government controls and produce larger families.


13 posted on 02/25/2008 8:19:31 PM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
This is the end point of self loathing of the left. This mindset is that the Caucasian peoples should pass into history and allow their time on earth to be remembered as a bad dream, full of oppression and exploitation of the earth’s precious natural resources. The other races will make a better life for themselves and will be happy to see all remaining races merge and meld into one great humankind, ready to finally get to work on building Utopia. The religion the Caucasians were trying to impose on everyone else will die with them and be replaced with natural, native customs and practices that all commonly recognized Gaia, the living, self aware, spirit of earth as supreme. One mother, one earth. One humanity.
14 posted on 02/25/2008 8:21:18 PM PST by theBuckwheat
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

! in 7 Americans have been slaughtered by souless plague rats like this. Yep! For every six people you see on the street, these evil souless sub-women monsters has made an empty space where an american should be. We are surrounded by the ghosts of all the babies murdered by nazi freaks like Kathryn Joyce. They all suffer from Death Camp Envy.


15 posted on 02/25/2008 8:50:07 PM PST by DGHoodini (Yippie! Clipboard Magic 4.01 works with Vista SP2 !)
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To: 8mmMauser
Among the questions we're not supposed to ask are these: How can pensions for a growing number of retirees be financed by a shrinking workforce? Who covers their increasingly pricy medical bills? How long before euthanasia -- voluntary and involuntary -- becomes universal?

Demographics ping.

16 posted on 02/25/2008 9:25:39 PM PST by TheSarce
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To: Uncle Miltie
So long as LEFTISTS ABORT THEIRS, we'll always win in the long run.

Not necessarily. They spend 6 hours 5 days a week inculcating the little minds of other people's children with their garbage. Unfortunately, not everyone has the option of homeschooling. That doesn't mean they are more concerned about material things than their children; some people truly cannot afford to do so. I am glad my children are grown, but I fear for my grandchildren's future. These selfish people will be the first in line to clamor for free healthcare and old age care provided them by other people's children, while they squander their money on exotic trips, toys, and the funding of the "charities" that promote their "values."

17 posted on 02/25/2008 11:48:49 PM PST by informavoracious ("Help me, Obama-Wan Kenyabi, you're my only hope!")
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To: HKMk23

LOL!


18 posted on 02/26/2008 4:28:46 AM PST by Tax-chick (If there's a bustle in your hedgerow, don't shoot! It might be a lemur!)
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