Posted on 06/02/2008 8:38:59 AM PDT by wsjreader
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Connecticut finds Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. Given that choice, 4% would opt for “some other candidate” while 5% are not sure.
In early March, Obama led McCain by twelve percentage points. However, that poll was conducted before Obama’s controversial former pastor, Jeremiah Wright, became part of the campaign dialogue. Currently, Obama is viewed favorably by 57% of Connecticut voters. That rating is down ten percentage points since March.
McCain is viewed favorably by 54%, down four points from the previous survey.
In Connecticut, Obama leads among voters under 50 while McCain has the edge among older voters. McCain is supported by 77% of Republicans and has a five-point advantage over Obama among unaffiliated voters. Obama leads 67% to 21% among Democrats. Twelve percent (12%) of Democrats say they would vote for a third-candidate or are currently undecided.
McCain leads among voters who earn $40,000 to $75,000 annually. Obama leads among those who earn less than $40,000 a year and among those who earn more than $75,000.
Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are currently given a 93.0% chance of winning Connecticut’s seven Electoral College votes. Democrats have won the state in four consecutive elections, the last three by double digits. Prior to that, the state voted for the GOP in five straight elections from 1972 to 1988. With release of this poll, Connecticut shifts from “Safely Democratic” to “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power calculator.
Are we surprised?..............
Although CT isn't quite as "blue" as the rest of New England you'd expect Osama to have a wider lead than he seems to have.
These results are why I’m afraid that McCain will pick Joe Lieberman to be his running mate. Joe would pull Connecticut to McCain along with New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and possibly Maryland.
At this point in time, polls are nearly worthless.............
exactly...wait for the tape
Not to the poll takers. They put these things out one a week for months on end. Every one of them is a payday for the taker. Somebody's gotta be buying them too-even though they are worthless.
What would Britt Hume and the rest of the talking heads talk about if they couldn't pretend that this stuff was important?
Nam Vet
Fauxbama will not even be close nationally if he is the democratic candidate.
While he will not lose the electoral college as badly as McGovern and Mondale.. he will lose the popular vote by an equivalent margin. He’ll be lucky if he sees 40% of the popular vote.
Add the bradley factor and all the crap we will have on barack curious george mcgovern, then mix in lieberman’s working for his revenge and McCain walks away with the Nutmeg State by at least 55/45. That will help nail down all of New England except the socialist state of vermont, which would vote for fidel for president.
It’s time for all conservatives to jump the boat and vote for Bob Barr. Nuff said.
A lot closer than I expected!
The big question is -- do libs lie to an automated pollster as much as they do to a live pollster?
The big question is — do libs lie? YES they do.
The Bradley effect is likely, IMO, very significant in CT. I call Ct for McCain, FWIW.
This may soak up some of those excess campaign dollars that Bamer has.
I wonder what percentage of people lied when saying that they would vote for Obama.
Many white democrats won’t vote for a black guy. Some will at the last minute, stay home or vote for McCain.
McCain can win CT w/o Lieberman on the ticket.
Nuff said.
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