If we can flip VA, CO, and OH to McCain, then it is
269-269.
Maybe Nebraska and Maine which ARE NOT WINNER TAKE ALL decide it.
... and isn’t Intrade European? Or not-American?
In 2004, wasn't there a ballot measure in Colorado to distribute future electoral votes based on voting in each Congressional district?
Did that pass or fail?
Bush won VA by +220,000 in 2000 +316,000 in 2004.
Colorado was up for Bush in both.
NM is still a swing state.
Bush took Ohio by 165,000 in 2000 and 136,000 in 2004.
He averaged winning Nevada in both races by 23,000.
With CO, NV, VA and OH (more than likely to stay in GOP column) McCain wins 274-264.
Throw in New Mexico (next door neighbor help?) and even Wisconsin (which Bush barely lost in 2000 and 2004) and you can swing another 15 electoral votes.