Not Virginia in this year. Obama is only polling 74% among
democrats which is a disaster. He is actually down since becoming the nominee. This means low democrat turnout.
I suspect it means low white democrat turnout and the black vote anywhere has been high anyway.
However , Clinton might have won Virginia.
Even Survey USA, who has McCain trailing Obama 49-47%, shows McCain doing well among Democrats (79-19%) and Independents (49-43%). Those are bad signs for Obama, in my opinion. IF McCain receives 20-25% support from Democrats and IF McCain also wins Independents by more than 5 points, Obama probably won’t win. Rasmussen has Obama’s unfavorable rating at 47% in Virginia. That’s another bad sign for him that almost half the voters view him at least somewhat unfavorably. Obama just doesn’t have the appeal in the rural, suburban, and exurban areas like Webb or Warner have.
Look to the future, though. It will make me sad indeed if VA moves into the Dem camp all because the swamps of DC emptied into Arlington.
“However , Clinton might have won Virginia”
Exactly right. I am so glad that she is not the nominee. McCain actually has a good chance now.
I’ll never understand those fools who voted for her and those who supported her like Pat Buchanan and Joe Scarborough.