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Just as in 2004, Dems doing better in Electoral College than nationally
SignOnSanDiego.com ^ | Sept 11, 2008 | Chris Reed

Posted on 09/11/2008 2:02:36 PM PDT by fightinJAG

McCain is having his best week of the campaign by far. Joe Biden, as predicted, is turning out to be a gaffe machine, undermining Obama yesterday by blithely picking at the wounds of 18 million Hillary voters by saying she might well have been a better veep pick. The media are also turning on Obama and beginning to sound the trope that he's not as cunning and brilliant as he seemed against Hillary.

But all that said, the Electoral College still looks favorable to Obama. A new survey of polls on The New Republic's Plank web site has good news for McCain in that he's pulling away in some traditionally GOP states that had seemed close before. But it also shows that Obama keeps his lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania, which Kerry won in 2004 and McCain covets.

Meanwhile, the Real Clear Politics survey of polls shows Obama ahead in the 2004 GOP state of Iowa and even in 2004 GOP states Ohio, Colorado and New Mexico -- even as he trails by 2.4 percent in RCP's overall chart of national polls.

Which points to something that the media haven't given all that much attention to even though 2000 reminded everyone as strongly as possible that the Electoral College picks the president, not the popular vote. In 2004, John Kerry did much better in the Electoral Vote than his popular vote suggested.

(Excerpt) Read more at weblog.signonsandiego.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2004; 2008polls; electionpresident; gwb2004; mccainpalin; obamabiden

1 posted on 09/11/2008 2:02:36 PM PDT by fightinJAG
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To: fightinJAG

I guess some people haven’t seen the recent Michigan and New Mexico polls. McCain is trending ahead....


2 posted on 09/11/2008 2:05:20 PM PDT by Nabber
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To: fightinJAG

The media are also turning on Obama and beginning to sound the trope that he’s not as cunning and brilliant as he seemed against Hillary.

he never was cunning and brilliant during the primaries. the MSM was so far in the tank for him they willingly chose to overlook his faults..


3 posted on 09/11/2008 2:05:42 PM PDT by GeorgiaDawg32 (I'm a Patriot Guard Rider. www.patriotguard.org for info. MAVERICK/BARRACUDA '08)
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To: fightinJAG

Obama loses in PA, MI, NM, CO, MN....


4 posted on 09/11/2008 2:06:04 PM PDT by petercooper (IQ tests for all voters!)
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To: fightinJAG

LOL well thats a nice way to look at it, but the trend is heading toward McCain.


5 posted on 09/11/2008 2:06:09 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: fightinJAG

“Pony in the room full of s**t” Syndrome?


6 posted on 09/11/2008 2:06:58 PM PDT by xcamel (Conservatives start smart, and get rich, liberals start rich, and get stupid.)
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To: fightinJAG

This guy is using The New Republic as a source for his wishful thinking.

Nothing but a another “denial” piece from the Media.


7 posted on 09/11/2008 2:10:16 PM PDT by rightinthemiddle (Without the Mainstream Media, the Left is Nothing.)
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To: snarkytart

The Silent Majority at work. People are holding their cards close to the chest... people don’t want to be saddled with the moniker of racist.


8 posted on 09/11/2008 2:18:15 PM PDT by Mashood
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To: fightinJAG
LOL! What he doesn't mention is John F. Kerry LOST the electoral college vote. If Obama is doing so great, why are the Democrats having to convince themselves they're still leading in the EC?

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

9 posted on 09/11/2008 2:20:32 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

we shouldn’t get too cocky, mccain/palin may win the popular vote but lose the electoral college. Mccain/Palin are still short of the 270 EC to win


10 posted on 09/11/2008 2:31:11 PM PDT by 4rcane
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To: fightinJAG

Bradley effect.


11 posted on 09/11/2008 2:56:31 PM PDT by MNnice (Da ma Dakota)
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To: fightinJAG

It’s looking to me like the battle ground will be in Colorado. I’d sure like to see some better numbers there. Or maybe it will be New Mexico, same deal there though


12 posted on 09/11/2008 6:05:42 PM PDT by MattAMiller
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To: MattAMiller

I think in the end “western values” will transcend in these states. At least I hope so.


13 posted on 09/12/2008 6:31:27 AM PDT by fightinJAG (Rush was right when he said: "You NEVER win by losing.")
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