RealClearPolitics Electoral Map For Week Ending Sept 20,2008

RealClearPolitics ^ | Sept 20,2008

[SeekAndFind]

See here :

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/

[Darkwolf377]

Hmmm. I'm seeing Obama with a couple of states Bush won, not seeing McCain with any Kerry won... Worried.

On the other hand, I just got some emails from friends living in two different parts of the country who say the mood is pro-McCain--one in Florida, one in PA.

[Always Right]

I am not buying that Indiana and Virgina are tossups, but it is clear, the Great Lake states are where the election will be decided.

[forYourChildrenVote4Bush]

216 + OH (20) + Virginia (13) + Indiana (11) = 260

Colorado (9) + Nevada (5) = 14

260 + 14 = 274

You need Colorado

[Captain Jack Aubrey]

McCain has a 4 point lead in VA.

[lt.america]

I think we have all found in the last two weeks, that national polls mean nothing. The winner of this election could lose the popular vote by a point or two. All eyes on the battleground states and it seems McCain is more than holding his own. Hopefully he knows every resident in Macomb County Michigan by name by November the 4th.

[ncalburt]

That stuff is real garbage. Its the average of some really bad polling data from sorry Liberal push poll outfits like Marist and Quinnepic and CBS and CNN . If you need read go to non partisan polls from Rasmussen ,Battleground, and Mason-Dixon. When you average garbage , its still garbage results . This year the Dem media are fighting for there lives and pushing to get this socialist elected so he can shut down the new media and the internet which killed there old monopoly.

[Darkwolf377]

I hope you’re right. I need to get on a “Good electoral college news!” ping list before I stroke out. I almost blew a gasket over the 2000 election, and there’s heart attacks and high blood pressure in my family! (Not in me, though.) :D

[I_be_tc]

We purchased a second home in Oklahoma last year for our retirement. We travel between there and Colorado, where our other house is located. We have chosen not to change our voter registration yet, as we intend to vote against the Big O in Colorado. We feel Oklahoma is a bit safer for McCain, so we are staying put registration wise. Hoping to help as much as we can.

[Darkwolf377]

You make good points. I have a friend who’s worked in government and polling for forty years and he walked me through all of this, and it really opened my eyes. But...I am very easily depressed by any good news about Obama. I’ve studied him long and hard and am astonished he’s been able to pull the wool over so many people’s eyes. Still, I need to study the internals and stay away from averages of polls done with differing methodology.

[yoe]

I suspect that the vote will go to the real American.

McCain-Palin = 100% for America

Obama-Biden = Socialism

[Rebel Wolf]

I’m REALLY dissapointed to see my home state (Virginia) in the tossup catagory. I guess all those NO VA latte sippers add up after a few years.

[Combat_Liberalism]

Some recent polls have shown McCain tied or even leading in Pa. and Mich. That is very bad news for Obama at this stage of the campaign. A recent NY poll showed McCain trailing by only 6%. If all his ducks were in a row he would be leading by at least 20% in N.Y. It is the Obama-ites who are terrified of losing what they thought so recently was a sure thing. I believe McCain will pick up the few more percent he needs to assure victory. As much as the nation craves “change,” they are not ready to elect a northern collectivist of Obama’s description.

[lt.america]

I like our energy going down the stretch. Palin brings energy to the ticket and for a 70 year old, McCain seems surprisingly fresh during the stretch run. 19 months on the stump have begun to take its toll on Obama along with the fact that Biden is bringing nothing to the fight.

[kenmcg]

“Bradley Effect” will cost Obama at least two states.

[TexasGreg]

Looking at the distribution without Toss Ups, they give CO, PA, IA, and WA to Obama. I don’t believe it ... not given the demographics of the state and their historical voting record. I see all those states going to McCain. Hence, the final count would be:

McCain/Palin = 313
Obama/Biden = 225

Yes, any single one of these states is enough to swing it to McCain, or back to Obama. IF Obama manages to pull PA and IA and CO but McCain takes WA, McCain Wins. Wouldn’t it be a wild night if it ended up running all the way to WA? But, I doubt it. I think it will be over early, with PA going to McCain without much question, and the resulting news pushing IA, CO, and WA over to McCain.

[blueyon]

“I am not buying that Indiana and Virgina are tossups,”

I am ashamed to say (since I live in Virginia) I think they are tossups. The law that was just changed (Of courser Obama and the ACLU were behind it) will not help John McCain much.

http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=25&sid=1474471

[Perdogg]

I think McCain gets at least one of Penn, MI, MN, or Wisc., this with a worse case scenario McCain loses both NM and Iowa, game, match, set.