Posted on 09/29/2008 4:03:24 PM PDT by Momaw Nadon
Are we seeing the defeat of McCain OR are we seeing Obamma’s campaign peaking too soon?
Anyone know the validity of American Research? don’t think I heard of it before but I like its findings... I hope it is an impartial source instead of right-leaning so that it is a more accurate standard of what is going on out there
http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ev/
it has mccain 286 to Obama 252 and was updated today
Oh well, according to this McScream is toast. Election over on September 29th. No reason to show up on Election Day. Time to pack the bags. Moving to Moscow shortly. If I have to live under communism, I might as well live under the pros and not the joes.
The Election is NOT over.
McCain was in the lead JUST TWO WEEKS AGO.
??? huh??? Right, and last Saturday the Dallas Cowboys were 3-0. TODAY they are 3-1 after yesterday's spanking.
How do we get the ping list?
I strongly believe FL, VA, NV, OH and likely CO will be in McCain’s column Nov 4. Even without CO, add 80 to McCain and we have victory. If he’s doing bad enough to lose VA and FL, might as well slap in a DVD, because it’ll be a long night.
all doable.....just need those Bush states....
“A national political campaign is better than the best circus ever heard of, with a mass baptism and a couple of hangings thrown in.”
~ H. L. Mencken
| Week | GOP Electoral Votes |
Probability of 270 |
|---|---|---|
| 7-Jan | 241.05 | 20.18% |
| 14-Jan | 235.29 | 14.70% |
| 21-Jan | 234.76 | 14.66% |
| 28-Jan | 236.58 | 15.44% |
| 4-Feb | 236.26 | 15.41% |
| 11-Feb | 237.25 | 16.43% |
| 18-Feb | 230.61 | 12.69% |
| 25-Feb | 233.56 | 15.44% |
| 3-Mar | 234.54 | 16.27% |
| 10-Mar | 240.26 | 22.49% |
| 17-Mar | 244.58 | 24.60% |
| 24-Mar | 249.73 | 28.50% |
| 31-Mar | 252.18 | 30.87% |
| 7-Apr | 248.97 | 27.60% |
| 14-Apr | 249.24 | 27.62% |
| 21-Apr | 247.86 | 25.60% |
| 28-Apr | 251.65 | 29.06% |
| 5-May | 250.84 | 28.07% |
| 12-May | 252.31 | 29.25% |
| 19-May | 248.73 | 25.99% |
| 26-May | 250.15 | 27.10% |
| 2-Jun | 248.98 | 26.46% |
| 9-Jun | 247.87 | 26.81% |
| 16-Jun | 248.41 | 26.06% |
| 23-Jun | 233.92 | 15.76% |
| 30-Jun | 234.84 | 16.21% |
| 14-Jul | 237.43 | 19.14% |
| 21-Jul | 231.61 | 14.15% |
| 28-Jul | 233.21 | 15.18% |
| 4-Aug | 234.45 | 16.45% |
| 11-Aug | 242.62 | 21.56% |
| 18-Aug | 246.64 | 25.20% |
| 25-Aug | 248.30 | 25.59% |
| 01-Sep | 255.23 | 32.44% |
| 08-Sep | 254.33 | 30.70% |
| 14-Sep | 272.47 | 51.00% |
| 22-Sep | 260.79 | 38.30% |
| 29-Sep | 235.80 | 14.39% |
See this post for my latest Rasmussen model results based on state polls.
-PJ
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.