[Chet 99]

From the same Chuck Todd who just announced that it is all over for McCain and Obama is a lock.

[1035rep]

From the same Chuck Todd who just announced that it is all over for McCain and Obama is a lock.

LOL! These people think we forget.  Thanks for posting!

[lt.america]

Great find my friend. The Chuck Todds of the world are very similiar to the guys that try to pick a bottom in the market, both will end up with egg on their face in the end.

[TXBlair]

And Chuck Todd NEVER gets it wrong!

You should email this to him. I think ol’ Highpockets could use the reminder.

[svcw]

The day after the election:

McCain/Palin win in landslide - America a racist country

Republicans pick up 10 senate seats, 54 house seats, again proving racism

[northernlightsII]

Thank you for posting.Very illuminating. I appreciate all of your threads also.

[snarkytart]

THANK YOU!!

I hope Rush gets this and reads it on his show.

[tbpiper]

could turn out like 2000, with President Bush and Sen. John Kerry splitting victories..

Chuck Todd either needs to hire a proofreader or take some remedial history.

[freeplancer]

Call me crazy, but didn’t W run against Al Gore in 2000 and not John Kerry?

[Sans-Culotte]

Yes, but that was in May, 2004. I doubt he would have written such an article a month before the election. Still, I hope is as accurate now as was when he wrote that piece.

[snarkytart]

'If you look at key indicators beyond the neck-and-neck support for the two candidates in the polls--

such as high turnout in the early Democratic primaries and the likelihood of a high turnout in November--it seems improbable that Bush will win big. More likely, it's going to be Kerry in a rout.'

lmao..poor Chuck Todd. And he's still trying to push propaganda

[GraniteStateConservative]

Political predictions in May are far less likely to be true than those less than a month away from Election Day.

The Va. GOP fears McCain could lose the state

Virginia being a battleground state for a Republican running for the WH is a serious problem.

[Waco]

The press and MSM always call it too, close, gotta keep selling newspapers etc. Why pick a winner?

[ncalburt]

Chuck Todd whose WIFE is a Democrat Spinster !

[ClaudiusI]

Yes, but at this point Kerry was not leading by 8 (7?) points, and Bush hadn’t just whored himself to the Democrats in congress by supporting the most unpopular bill of our time. (no, not Clinton)

[1-Eagle]

THANK YOU VERY MUCH.

I absolutely despise Jeff Greenfield who could always find a silver lining in every report for the Demos. Everything always looks like the Democrats have great chances to him.

I don't remember Chuck Todd, but then again I try not to watch CNN.

This is the kind of stuff they do with polls. It is conservative voter supression, plain and simple. With Palin throwing some serious punches, they have got to turn up the pressure with more slanted polls and more slanted interpretation of polls and bold predictions that Obama is unstoppable.

[Fresh Wind]

...brought about by a shift of just two swing states that went for Bush last time, New Hampshire, and West Virginia.

Hate to break it to ya, Chuckie, but New Hampshire went for Kerry last time.

[Doug TX]

Thank you! Great find. Will forward to morning joe blow this week.

[buckeye12]

Well using the 2004 dem primary in comparison to this years as a way to predict the election has several shortfalls.

One, the gop brand has a lower approval rating than it did in 04. Two, as far as 04 was concerned, it was Dean who brought a lot of new voters to the fold before he ruined his chances. Kerry was in the party insider. A rough but fairly accurate (for the sake of Todd’s argument) is that Obama is this years dean, and Hillary was the Kerry candidate.

To be fair, Todd never said Kerry was going to win in a landslide. He was using accurate historical markers to say that the possibility existed (it certainly did). We all know that Bush ended up sealing the deal in a slightly more comfortable win than 2000.

This analysis holds little bearing to the 2008 election though.