Eh..I’m sure he probably would’ve written the same thing in October of 2004, because the race was still neck and neck at that time. The media is always telling us about how there is going to be a HUGE Democrat turnout, and always talk about the new registered Dem voters.
This is the same tired old reasoning every four years...thank goodness it never materializes.
Well, the main point of his piece is that presidential re-election campaigns are almost always decisive and not ties, like 2000. So, the options in his opinion were decisive Bush win or decisive Kerry win, and he looked at how things were in May, before the conventions and the debates, and viewed a Kerry decisive win as more likely.