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Poll: Obama leads in 3 of 4 key Bush counties
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14556.html ^

Posted on 10/14/2008 5:09:38 AM PDT by tomymind

Barack Obama has erased traditional Republican advantages in four key bellwether counties that President George W. Bush won in 2000 and 2004, according to a new Politico/InsiderAdvantage survey. Each county is critical to the outcome in the battleground state where it is located.

In Reno, Nevada's Washoe County, Obama leads McCain by a 46-45 percent margin, with six percent undecided. Obama posts a wider 50-44 percent lead with five percent undecided in Raleigh, North Carolina's Wake County, and another 6-point lead in Hillsborough County, Fla., where Tampa is located. There, he edges McCain 47-41 percent, with 11 percent undecided.

Among the four counties tested, McCain leads in only one: Jefferson County, Colo., a populous Denver suburb. McCain is ahead there by a margin of 45-43 percent, with eight percent undecided.

At first glance, these Politico/InsiderAdvantage numbers might not look so troubling for McCain, who trailed Obama by 10 points in an ABC/Washington Post national survey, released Monday.

But these four counties are crucial battlegrounds in four of the most competitive states in the presidential race. In recent years, the Republican path to the White House has run through these areas.

In 2004, President Bush won Washoe County, Nevada's second-most populous county, by a four-point margin over Massachusetts Sen. John F. Kerry. This year, when Obama is expected to run up a big vote lead in Las Vegas' Clark County, McCain is unlikely to be able to afford a loss in Washoe.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado; US: Florida; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; itstheeconomystupid; mccain; poll; vote
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Interesting read.
1 posted on 10/14/2008 5:09:38 AM PDT by tomymind
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To: tomymind

This is complete malarky!!! No way is Obama leading in Tampa. We are crushing them with signs, bumper stickers, and sign waving. Also, I haven’t really met anyone here passionate for Obama. Hillsborough County is McCain/Palin country. Don’t believe outside idiots who add up numbers the way they want to.

http://saveamericafromobama.blogspot.com


2 posted on 10/14/2008 5:14:40 AM PDT by FloridaBattleGround
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To: tomymind

And it basically validates every other poll that is currently showing an Obama lead. McCain needs a game changer before the clock runs out....


3 posted on 10/14/2008 5:14:59 AM PDT by tatown (RINO's have destroyed the Republican party.)
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To: tomymind

POLLS POLLS POLLS! I’m sick of polls and they are all meaningless. Watching a PBS documentary last night about Nixon. He was trailing Humphrey in the polls in the week before the election in 1968 and the rest is history. Interestingly, they forgot to poll the “silent majority”. I have a feeling history is repeating itself as it usually does time and again.


4 posted on 10/14/2008 5:15:32 AM PDT by Russ (Repeal the 17th amendment)
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To: tomymind

There is a lot of doom and gloom trolls or whiners lately!

They say either “Cut and Run” or “Give up the Ship”.


5 posted on 10/14/2008 5:15:51 AM PDT by HuntsvilleTxVeteran (Obama and ITS thugs are made paranoid by Sarahnoia. (stole from molly_jack2007))
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To: tomymind

A 46-45 poll is NOT a lead; I live in Hillsborough County and I don’t believe for a minute that Obama leads here. I am a staunch republican, but I can tell you that I have several friends/acquaintances who are staunch democrats — NOT a one of them is voting Obama, NOT ONE.

I think all the polls are skewed; I think the media is using polls to project the outcome of the election. It won’t work. The american public is a lot smarter than the politico “reporters”.


6 posted on 10/14/2008 5:17:03 AM PDT by Laverne
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To: Russ
Reagan and Carter were in a dead race the day of the election

Kerry has a 8 point lead in Ohio.

7 posted on 10/14/2008 5:17:18 AM PDT by scooby321 (Cai)
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To: scooby321

and at a bet, i bet those polls all have a 6 to 12% dem bias, no doubt.


8 posted on 10/14/2008 5:18:18 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: tatown

You know of other polls taken in these counties? If so where are they?


9 posted on 10/14/2008 5:19:55 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: tomymind
OBAMA-MCCAIN ISSUE COMPARISON CHART
10 posted on 10/14/2008 5:20:45 AM PDT by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: Laverne
An hour ago, this newbie posted a poll showing Obama tied in North Dakota.

It's the latest tactic among our new “FRiends”.

11 posted on 10/14/2008 5:21:02 AM PDT by Cedric
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To: tomymind

I think the pollsters are trying to factor in the voter fraud. They want to remain credible but don’t know how much of these bogus votes will be counted so they err on the side of the Democrats. It must be tough being a pollster these days! I don’t know anyone voting for Obama.


12 posted on 10/14/2008 5:21:09 AM PDT by BeckB
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To: Cedric

I’m really fed up up with your stupid comments.


13 posted on 10/14/2008 5:22:15 AM PDT by tomymind
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To: tomymind

Good gracious. Would we have done an indepth anysis of “areas” had Obama been behind. This is ridiculous. When will we start polling streets???? Oh, over there on Pine street, they went for McCain by four houses and three house went for Obama earlier this year, but now four houses are for Obama and three houses are for McCain.....BARF!!!!!


14 posted on 10/14/2008 5:22:19 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: 101voodoo

I’m referencing state & national polls. They are validated by this article.


15 posted on 10/14/2008 5:23:12 AM PDT by tatown (RINO's have destroyed the Republican party.)
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To: Russ

The Silent Majority has caller ID.

Pray for W, Palin/McCain and Our Troops


16 posted on 10/14/2008 5:23:27 AM PDT by bray (It's the Corruption Stupid)
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To: tomymind

Welcome to FR.


17 posted on 10/14/2008 5:23:54 AM PDT by Obadiah
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To: Russ

He was trailing Humphrey in the polls in the week before the election in 1968 and the rest is history.

Horribly bad history that must never be repeated. We don’t need to go back to those dark days. McCain resigning in shame is not what I look forward too. lol.


18 posted on 10/14/2008 5:24:16 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: tomymind
Time to surrender to Jeremiah Wright apprentice who is going to get more white votes than Gore and Kerry did. White voters are so eager to elect a black racist to the White House (extreme sarcasm).
19 posted on 10/14/2008 5:25:29 AM PDT by jveritas (Use the nuclear option against Obama: Jeremiah Wright)
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To: tomymind

Never mind him, he is convinced that McCain is running a winning campaign right now.


20 posted on 10/14/2008 5:25:37 AM PDT by tatown (RINO's have destroyed the Republican party.)
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