I don't think I saw this wide of a poll spread at any moment in time during the 2000 and 2004 presidential campaigns. Seems like everyone is guessing at what having Obama in this election really means.
Hard to believe there could be that big of a shift in such a short time. Battleground still had McCain up by a very small margin even after the financial problems began, as I recall. Now he is down 13? Unreal. That is an 8 point difference from Rasmussen too.
That Gallup poll posted earlier with a 50-46 spread... Do we know is that from today? (I know it was posted on National Review with a 10/14 date.) I thought we saw those same numbers Sunday then someone yesterday posted that Gallup’s margin increased to 7. Something is off somewhere. Hard to imagine the numbers among pollsters could be so different.
I do think that some of the crazy poll spreads at times between even some of the more "respected" pollsters should give us some hope that this is a difficult election for them to get consistent data. If McCain can close things up for real then who knows what can happen.
last 90 days of 2000 and 2003 it was never 13 points anywhere I can find and I’ve looked at a slew of them.
Bush and Gore each were up at a couple of junctures of around 9 in 2000
and Kerry never led Bush in the RCP aggregate in 2004 after mid August
this poll looks wacky to me too
if it were true then this middle vote they both so covet must be mighty stupid and whimsical
i believe Obama is leading but more around 2-5 points...hopefully more like 2
but if this trend is furthered by other polls then????
I am starting to think that many folks are ignorant of don’t care about Obama’s real character...orboth
High GOP turnout is about our only hope.