Obama Takes Solid Lead Over McCain in Four Battleground States

Wall Street Journal ^ | October. 14, 2008 | SARA MURRAY

[Reagan Man]

The polls aren’t the problem.

McCain is the problem.

If you want to ignore the polls, fine.

I guarantee you, the McCain campaign isn’t ignoring the polls -— internal or external. In fact, McCain just stated yesterday, he’s behind by 6% -— per his chief advisor, Steve Schimdt.

[pburgh01]

This is acording to the MSM's plan all along. They are following the script. Watch for the lead to widen even further, red states like Florida they will say now are solid blue and the new battlegrund states are Gerogia and North Dakota. Hmm if I was to guess come about October 20th Obama by all accounts in the MSM and trolls here ususally with prefix of Conservative_"insert state here" will be considered the winner. About Obama 53 to McCain's 43. Talk of transition teams and even some moderates in the MSM talking us conservatives off the ledge saying "Awww Obama won't be that bad". Then when all seems darkest, hope gone....THE COMEBACK. Yes you heard it McCain roars back, at least a media generated one. Election day will see about Obama 47 McCain 44.

My first final prediction...McCain 51% Obama 47% Others 2% State predictions in "Battlegrounds" States won my McCain by more that 3%

• Florida
• Missouri
• North Carolina
• Virginia
• Indiana
• Colorado
• New Hampshire

  1-3% Margin

• New Mexico
• Pennsylvania
• Wisconsin
• Minnesota

[FlipWilson]

The formula is simple: economy bad (or perceived as bad), Party A in White House, vote Party B. Doesn’t matter if Party B is promising to shoot everyone if elected or show up at everyone’s house and beat them to death with a hammer. In times of economic trouble, the sheeple have been programmed to check their brains at the door and vot with their emotions.

[Mac from Cleveland]

I agree with you about the polls being garbage.

I agree with you about not giving up.

I think what most people are worried about isn’t the polls-it’s the fact that Obama is still standing, with not a mark on him, this late in the game. This guy’s got a boxcar full of baggage, and McCain needs to take him out. He hasn’t.

I know the deck is stacked-all the more reason to let ‘er rip. The only way you really can say that a punch has landed and done it’s job is when the other guy is stretched out on the ground.

Who cares if he gives red meat to 3, 000 people in Bug Tussle who came out to see him? They’re already in his corner. He needs to make all the idiots who may come off the fence one way or the other come down on his side. It’s sad that he has to, but that’s reality.

I just pray ol’ Wile E. McCain isn’t sending away to Acme right now for their “Win-a Debate” kit. He better come out like he means it tomorrow. He’s running out of time.

[Faith]

McCain in a landslide.

YES!

[Fu-fu2]

Can someone tell me why Obama is still advertising so much in Illinois??!! Seems like a waste of money. There were several commercials last night in the after 10:30 pm time slot. I’m guessing that’s when alot of these “new, young” voters are up watching TV and the Obamans want to make sure they remember that there is an election....But why would their votes even matter, unless there are alot of Reagan Democrats who are planning on voting for McCain?

[BnBlFlag]

Excellent analysis!

[drangundsturm]

The QuinePEEack polls have been amongst the worst outliers for the past month. Their outrageous numbers single-handedly made the RCP state by state battleground averages look dismal for Mccain. If you took their figures out of several battlegrounds, the remaining more reliable polls were generally in the MOE. IIRC Quin was showing double digit leads by Obama in some places when other polls were showing from +2 Mccain to +2 obama.

Notice that just when their numbers were starting to roll out of the time window on RCP they come up with more outliers.

[FutureRocketMan]

I don’t care what poll results say, I’m not fased about polls. We need to speak the truth and be very influential about Obama, his views, his experience, (or non-experience, I should say), and his associations. God Bless John McCain and Sarah Palin!
\

[Retired Greyhound]

Yes, I believe that a lot of voters have no idea about Rev. Wright.

Commercials playing his rants would certainly help McCain in OH, MI, PA and VA, where he is struggling.

This is a no brainer, and McCain is derelict in not doing it.

I may as well have just given my donation to Obama.

[joe fonebone]

agreed...the “i’m gonna teach you a lesson” crowd that stayed home last election, i pray you all got burned real bad in the stock market, because this financial fiasco is all YOUR fault...i spit upon you..

[nathanbedford]

You are right of course, barring Deus ex Machina, the McCain campaign is doomed. Therefore, it is time to start thinking about cutting McCain adrift before the election but after defeat is recognized to be inevitable. It is too soon now but the time is not far. Sometime between this last debate and election Day both the Republican Party and the conservative movement must set themselves free from the taint of the McCain campaign, its screwball economic policies, and its leftward lurchings.

This is necessary for the survival of the conservative movement and the Republican Party which are destined to go into the political wilderness whence it might never emerge as something we recognize. We must salvage the conservative movement if we are to rescue the Republic.

As to the ethics of this proposal, neither the Republican Party nor the conservative movement owes John McCain a damn thing. There is nothing in his Senate career to warrant our loyalty to the point of suicide. Sadly, he has not conducted a campaign-apart from the appointment of Sarah Palin- in fealty to conservative principles.

The obvious spokesman for the party right now and at the time of the eclipse of John McCain is Rush Limbaugh. He is the only national figure who can gain national attention. When it becomes clear that McCain's bid is forlorn it will be time for the Captain to order abandon ship. If this is not done it will leave the conservative movement bearing the blame for this loss and for the coming economic recession. We will not be able to nominate a conservative, and no Republican will be able to win a general election under these circumstances.

If John McCain had fought this out as a conservative we would be morally bound to go down with him but, alas, he has not.

[JavaJumpy]

I got an email today from someone in IN who said IN is turning bluer than blue. It’s an incredible thing to see.

[diamond6]

“Obama is pretending to be a conservative when he is a left wing radical.”

I noticed that, too. He is sounding more conservative every day, and McCain seems to be in reaction mode, rather than taking the bull by the horns himself and defining a clear vision.

[webrover]

Unfortunately, I think the applicable word is “erratic”.

[dforest]

Just this morning I heard McCain was only behind a few points in battlground states.

Which is it?

[GiveEmDubya]

the Republicans will be swept into control of both the House and Senate in 2010.

Not holding my breath. I heard this same thing in 2006, that 2 years of Pelosi and Reid would surely wake the American people up and refresh the Republicans. The media won't blame the Democrats for a thing, and who knows how many "new voters" will get thrust into the books once they've got unchecked authority.

[Eroteme]

Did anyone just see McCain in PA? He was really, finally, giving it to BO! He talked about taxing 401k’s and tax breaks and said to look at BO’s record, not his talk. Very good speech. I cannot figure out this guy, he acts bi-polar. One day he is great, and the next I want to pull out my hair!

His behavior is not so much revealing of a disorder as it is revealing of perfect normalcy for a senator--a creature whose every success is dependent on negotiating, compromising, dealing, shifting ground.

It's very characteristic of politicians to constantly adjust their stances and rhetoric based on the advice of others...pollsters, pundits, campaign advisors, donors, friends. Whatever they say at any given moment reflects the influence of the last person who had their ear.

McCain behaves exactly like a politician, not a leader. Leaders are consistent, and they don't chase after followers. They draw followers to them.

[cblue55]

WSJ had an editorial page by none other than George Soros (last week). WSJ is on a downward spiral, IMO. Its not what it used to be - may have cancel my subscription. Don’t need any more crappy left-wing papers.

[bethtopaz]

Thanks for the encouragement (McCain in a landslide.) and thanks so much for your service!

My son is an intelligence analyst for the Air Force.