[wbill]

The issue with Montana if it is close is that it has a large libertarian block of voters which could sway the election. ...I could see McCain not being conservative enough for voters in Montana, and losing out because they stay home.

But that doesn't translate into an Obama win in the polls, that's Obama-12%, McCain-8%, and 80% "undecided".

I'll gladly take all comers on Obama to win in Montana. Place your bets.

[microgood]

...I could see McCain not being conservative enough for voters in Montana, and losing out because they stay home.

Montana libertarians also likes the Constitution which Bush has thrashed so to the extent they equate Bush to McCain he could suffer from libertarians, who never vote Democrat but sway between the Republicans and libertarians. In 2006, there were almost 11,000 votes for the libertarian Senate Candidate, and the Republicans and Demo candidates were only separated by 2500 votes, costing Conrad Burns his seat.

[IYAS9YAS]

Hi, just chiming in. I was doing a search on why Obama nearly won Montana and this thread came up. All the counties with the bigger cities went for Obama - Bozeman, Billings, Great Falls, Helena, Butte, and even in nowhere country, there were blue counties.

This was a squeaker. Montana can no longer officially be considered a "conservative" state.

Final vote for McCain/Obama was very close. McCain actually only got 50% of the vote to Obama's 47%. The difference being Ron Paul at 2% and Nader at 1%.