Posted on 10/27/2008 4:15:25 PM PDT by Chet 99
THE POLL: Marist College poll in the presidential race of likely voters in New Hampshire.
THE NUMBERS: 50 percent Barack Obama, 45 percent John McCain.
OF INTEREST: A day after a Boston Globe poll showed Obama with a 15-percentage point lead in New Hampshire, the Marist College poll shows him with only a slight lead.
DETAILS: Telephone poll of 655 like voters conducted Oct. 22-23. Sampling margin of error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at boston.com ...
Slight lead? Then McCain has NH in the bag.
C’mon John let’s get these 4 EVs for safe measure - this week will see Missouri, Nevada, NC, Florida and Virginia safely back into the fold. The day before election will see Ohio - Colorado to me is the real question mark in this election. I’ve written off New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Iowa (why he’s there still boggles me some)
OCT. 23-24 old poll?
So did they over poll Dems by 8 or 9, 10?
OOPS...Meant 22-23
NH turns red. I think Obama loses it.
Poll is old. Chet is new.
Kerry won in NH.
This is the second recent poll showing McCain within striking distance. A good omen.
Problem he is still at 50 and that’s scary!
The AP calling this a ‘slim lead?’ Do I sense fairness and objectivity from the AP??? That’s a first. Usually, when Obama is up by 5, the media acts as if its an insurmountable lead and that McCain may as well just give up.
72-hour poll not old in my book, although, the numbers are now probably worse in NH for Obama.
McCain’s views on low taxes and small government will resonate with the Granite State. I’m positive this whole “share the wealth” business is dragging down Obama there. Keep driving the point home.
Key word “Marist”
enough said....
McCain is going to win.
..
Assuming McCain wins NH, Obama wins PA, and Obama flips NM and IA, then holding all the other states constant from ‘04, Obama could force a tie by winning Colorado. Of course, there’s still Maine’s 2nd congressional district.
If Mac wins NH, then I think that’s the harbinger of an interesting election night. A McCain win in PA and basically it’s over. Mac could lose IA, NM, CO, and VA and still win if he wins PA. But if he wins PA then he’ll win VA.
..McCain’s success in 2000 and 2008 indicates that he has a lot of connections in the state—he’ll win NH IMO...
Weighted polls and the Bradley effect. I think they may be running scared and that’s why biden went ballistic when the reporters didn’t follow the script. Looks like they’re in panic mode. I hope so.
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