Posted on 11/03/2008 5:12:43 AM PST by housedeep
Obama was able to match McCain in maintaining party loyalty toward his candidacy: 91% of Democrats say they will vote for Obama, the same as the 91% of Republicans voting for McCain. But Obama's 90%-plus loyalty has a far greater payoff than McCain's, given the significant Democratic advantage in party identification -- evident not only in this final poll, but throughout the year. In the final poll, 38% of U.S. adults identified as Democrats, 34% as independents and 26% as Republicans. Among likely voters, the figures are 39%, 31% and 29%, respectively.
Thus, given the Republican deficit in party identification, McCain would have needed a big boost from independent voters in order to prevail. The two presidential nominees -- both of whom owe their primary victories earlier this year to solid support from independents -- waged a fierce battle for the independent vote, but in the final poll independents preferred Obama to McCain by 48% to 43%.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
ping guys...
Gallup is in the tank for the Obamanation. They are going to look like total fools after election night...
McCain-Palin’08!!!
I cannot WAIT to prove Gallup wrong!!!!!!!!!
More independents than Republicans! Unbelievable.
What are they drinking ?
Even the PEW poll had to back off of those type of numbers.
OK..this is the MOST interesting thing that has ever happened in terms of elections for me.
Either I am totally insane and Obama wins mightily and all of our analysis and observation is wrong.
OR the entire MSNBC news team commits collective suicide on Wednesday.
Either .. or.. cant be both
Maybe that is because the republicans like to pee on the conservatives and tell them it's raining..
Gallop=
Prove them wrong! Get out and vote!
So this loser tell us that B. Hussein would beat McCain with a margin larger than the difference in party affiliation?
I am horrible at math, could any freeper figure out what these number would be if they are converted into the 2004 party ID weightings? 37 R 37 D 26 I
That is pretty funny. How could they push such a poll with a straight (and supposedly professional) face?
quack poll
Gallup will be proven wrong. Based on their poll McCain has no chance unless he wins independents by 13 or so percent? Even then it’s a fat chance? Is that really the position they are going into the election with? We shall see indeed
For the next 36 hours it will be fascinating to watch the comments and strategies of the real PUMAs around here versus the Obama trolls.
And of course the Indis went a bit heavier to bama. Throw this in the garbage where it belongs. Where have all the Repubs gone?
Pray for McCuda and Our Troops
ROTFLMAO!!!
Final prediction: Gallup declares bankruptcy after November 4th, 2008
Gallup. They’re the ones who surveyed someone sharp—it’s somewhere posted on FR I know—who pointed out how ridiculously stacked their questions and question order. I paraphrase:
1) How do you think the economy’s doing?
2) Do you think the country is on the right track or the wrong track?
3) Do you approve of the job that Bush is doing?
4) Will you vote for Obama or McCain?
As pointed out, this is almost a push poll to steer people against admitting to voting for McCain. Add in the 10-point overpolling of Democrats, don’t even address the more subtle ways they could skew results by their steering of calls by region, etc., and you’re gonna get this wacky kind of result, even if McCain has the election well in hand.
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