How right were they in 2004
In 2004 they correctly predicted the results of every state.
This particular analysis was pretty accurate from a statistical point of view in 2004. However, if you want to see how accurate it is, go look at the swing Bush got around 5PM or so on Election Day 2004. I think it had Bush in the lead in the AM, a 90/10 swing to Kerry around 2PM, and back to Bush at 7PM or so.
Just don’t go getting all wobbly....we’re not dead by any stretch of the imagination. FWIW, I was a nervous wreck in 2004, kind of right about 2006 (I knew the house was gone, but the Senate shocked me somewhat). This year just seems different...the numbers being thrown around are silly and it is almost like they need to make this race tight on purpose. If they are right, we’re doomed (this year), but all of this reeks of manufactured support for Obama.
Well, at about 7 p.m. Election Day they were right on the money. A few hours before, however, LOL.
Don’t know how they were in ‘04, but there are only 4,475 registered users in their universe.
I don’t believe they’re very accurate at all. They have undervalued McCain so badly, that it’s jaw dropping. They have Franken up. I think these guys are betting with their hearts and not their heads. Sooner or later, it will cost them.
They correctly predicted every state in the nation in 2004.