The Iranians are probably closer to having a working A-bomb than most people realize.
I would say between 12-18 months. But there is not really anyone there to inspect their operation(as far as we know) They have moved their operations underground.
The Iranians are probably closer to having a working A-bomb than most people realize.”
According to some here on FR, the Iranians already have nuke warheads fitted to missiles on the pad awaiting launch orders.
I doubt that the Iranians just want to nuke Tel Aviv alone (or even the other targets - Rome, NYC and LA via ship launches) - the more blood the better - will hit as many targets as possible - meaning dozens of strikes. They hope to touch off a worldwide nuclear exchange and bring Al Mahdi back quickly.