I think that Susana Martinez is a fantastic candidate, and if she runs a good race she should beat Denish by around 5%. She should also help us attract Hispanic votes in NM, which will help Pearce win back the very conservative (but 45%+ Hispanic) South NM CD that he vacated in 2008 to run for governor, as well as pull Jon Barela over the finish line in the slightly-Democrat-leaning Albuquerque-based CD.
Steve Pearce gave up his congressional seat to run for Senate (not governor) to replace retiring Pete Domenici. It was a bad move on his part given that Heather Wilson gave up her seat to run for the same position. They beat each other up in the primary which he won, but he was defeated by Tom Udall, son of Stewart and radical liberal enviro-nazi. At the end of election day in NM, Obama beat McCain for president and Republicans went from 3 out of 5 seats in Washington to 0 out of 5. Some very bad decisions were made by state party leadership which may have been chaired by Allen Weh at the time, yes the person Susana beat on Tuesday.