You don’t necessarily know that all of that 4% would go to Rossi, but your point is valid nonetheless given Washington’s system of primary elections about that 4% being out there that “another candidate” should not have been an option in the poll.
It would be nice if that Survey USA poll would be validated by another poll. We can’t just assume the one that has the results we like are always the most accurate polls.
What about the timing of the two polls? Was Rass done pre Obama visit?
It’s amazing that this especially dull person was elected to the senate to begin with.
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“These poll differences are too great, 11 points, to be an issue of sampling error.”
An error of any size can theoretically come from sampling error. Because you are measuring a sample rather than the population, your measure[mean, proportion, etc.] is very likely to differ from the actual measure. If you have drawn your sample correctly large deviations from the true population value occur with small probability, but they can still occur.
What you go on to say is that one pollster failed to list the correct responses in your opinion. It then is not surprising to get different results as a result of giving different samples a different set of answers to choose from.
Every now and then Ras goes off the deep end as they throw a bone to the dims.
Funny, isn’t it, that when people like the results of a poll, they believe it implicitly, but if they don’t, they seek out all sorts of problems with the methodology.
Nice catch Dangus. You should email Rassmussen about it.