Yeah, this one looks like we have it in the bag. Just as a bit of trivia, I was wondering where I’d heard of the names Herrera and Heck in a CD before, and it reminded me of NV-3. One Dario Herrera (Democrat) was an up-and-coming pol in that newly created district back in 2002, but ended up getting defeated and eventually went to prison. Now a Republican named Joe Heck is expected to win that same seat this year.
In 2002, the Democrats were pushing hard to capture the “Red Rock 4” or something like that: CO-07, NV-03, AZ-01 and NM-01 IIRC. The GOP won all four races, but coughed up all four districts in 2006. In 2010, we’re winning them back.
That’s why I thought of Nevada when I saw this thread title.