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Boucher maintains double-digit lead in new poll
The Washington Post ^ | September 3, 2010

Posted on 09/04/2010 5:50:27 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Rep. Rick Boucher (D) leads state House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith (R) by 10 points with two months remaining until Election Day, according to a new independent poll of the 9th district.

The SurveyUSA poll, conducted for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, shows Boucher ahead among likely voters, 50 percent to 40 percent. Independent candidate Jeremiah Heaton drew 5 percent. That result is a slight improvement for Griffith over a mid-July poll by the same firm, which showed the Republican trailing by 13 points in the Southwest Virginia district.

(Excerpt) Read more at voices.washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; boucher; morgangriffith; va2010

1 posted on 09/04/2010 5:50:29 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: randita; InterceptPoint; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; Norman Bates; LdSentinal; ...

One must note that Rick Boucher is a 28-year incumbent. A 10-point lead in the polls is not a spectacular margin.


2 posted on 09/04/2010 5:52:32 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: Clintonfatigued

no such thing as a good registered Democrat....


3 posted on 09/04/2010 5:56:43 AM PDT by rrrod (at home in Medellin Colombia)
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To: Clintonfatigued
the VA-09 is going to be a lot closer than it looks in this poll. Quickly, here is what I saw. MOI is 4.5%, sample was not reflective of the demographics, McCain won this district with 59%, the "incumbent ire" is strong. If Boucher wins it will be by far less than 10%. Also, the enthusiasm gap will add 2-3 pts for Griffith.

It's going to be the ground game that wins it.

4 posted on 09/04/2010 6:09:21 AM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (3(0|\|0/\/\1($ 101: (4P174L1$/\/\ R3QU1r3$ (4P174L. Could it be any more simple?)
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To: Clintonfatigued

If McCain won this with 59%, how is Boucher up 10 points - and in this anti-Dem climate?

Is this one of those districts the GOP was expecting to flip?


5 posted on 09/04/2010 6:11:32 AM PDT by nhwingut (Palin/Bachmann '12)
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To: Clintonfatigued
1 in 4 Republicans continue to cross over to vote for the Democrat

Pretty amazing! 25% of (so-called) Repubs are voting for the Pelosi RAT in this climate.
6 posted on 09/04/2010 6:13:35 AM PDT by nhwingut (Palin/Bachmann '12)
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To: Clintonfatigued; Crichton; Impy; AuH2ORepublican

State Del. Terry Kilgore should’ve run here, he’d be ahead of Boucher. Griffith’s main disadvantage is not living in the district.


7 posted on 09/04/2010 6:16:11 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Amber Lamps !"~~)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Oh this is too funny. We are getting ridiculous now. Come on. If our guy had 10 points ahead, we would be spitting jellybeans. This is hilarious. We had orgasiams when Angle was two points ahead and NOBODY said “A two-point lead in the polls is not a spectacular margin”....it was pure euphoria. I am not saying that we can’t be happy when we are ahead but when the dem is ahead can we really dismiss the poll.


8 posted on 09/04/2010 6:20:03 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: nhwingut

Like a number of ‘Rats, Boucher maintains the illusion of distance from his party and its leadership.


9 posted on 09/04/2010 6:20:25 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: Clintonfatigued

How nice it would have been if you had added VA: to the beginning of the headline.

That’s not changing the headline, that’s adding to it and doing FReepers a favor.


10 posted on 09/04/2010 6:22:17 AM PDT by upchuck (If we let the federal gvmnt live beyond its means, we will soon have to live below ours. ~Joe Miller)
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To: napscoordinator

Yes. Boucher is a well-liked incumbent, not generally blamed for things, and we ran a person who didn’t live in the district, never an easy sell.

There were people who could have been competitive, but they didn’t run — because the knew that, even in this environment, it would be a brutal race with slim chances of success.

Eventually Boucher will retire, and republicans will take the seat. It would be great if we could win this year, but I am not holding out a lot of hope.


11 posted on 09/04/2010 6:57:13 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: Clintonfatigued

Rick Boucher was one of the many Democrats that NEVER, EVER bothered to go and read the evidence against Bill Clinton during his impeachment. For that, he should be disbarred at the very least.

Rick Boucher needs to be put out to pasture this year.


12 posted on 09/04/2010 7:00:58 AM PDT by Darnright (There can never be a complete confidence in a power which is excessive. - Tacitus)
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To: Corin Stormhands

Bump


13 posted on 09/04/2010 7:28:38 AM PDT by Darnright (There can never be a complete confidence in a power which is excessive. - Tacitus)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Well, he is at only 50%.

14 posted on 09/04/2010 7:39:12 AM PDT by mrsmith
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To: Clintonfatigued

I can’t understand how Boucher the bedwetter keeps getting returned to office in SW Virginia.


15 posted on 09/04/2010 7:53:52 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn (White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: CharlesWayneCT

Isn’t that a poverty-stricken district? It would explain their Democrat allegiance. The poor truly believe that “Democrats” “watch after” them.


16 posted on 09/04/2010 12:32:32 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Rush was right when he said America may survive Obama but not the Obama supporters.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; Clintonfatigued; CharlesWayneCT
State Del. Terry Kilgore should’ve run here, he’d be ahead of Boucher. Griffith’s main disadvantage is not living in the district.

No doubt.

But this poll isn't too bad for Griffith. It's still pretty early for a lot of the House races. Advertising really hasn't started in earnest.

A lot depends on how much Griffith - and outside groups - spend to highlight Boucher's Cap & Trade vote and link to Obama/Pelosi.

The Shuler/McIntyre races in NC are similar. Decent if not top tier candidates, just depends if they'll have enough $ to latch onto the wave.

17 posted on 09/04/2010 1:32:24 PM PDT by Crichton
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To: napscoordinator
Oh this is too funny. We are getting ridiculous now. Come on. If our guy had 10 points ahead, we would be spitting jellybeans. This is hilarious. We had orgasiams when Angle was two points ahead and NOBODY said “A two-point lead in the polls is not a spectacular margin”....it was pure euphoria.

In case you missed it, this cycle is incredibly favorable for Republicans: no 10-point Democrat lead is safe, especially this early, and tossup races (2 point GOP lead) are very likely to tip our way on election day.

It's better than 1994, the reverse of what we saw in 2006-2008.

18 posted on 09/04/2010 1:39:27 PM PDT by Crichton
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To: Crichton
The Shuler/McIntyre races in NC are similar. Decent if not top tier candidates, just depends if they'll have enough $ to latch onto the wave.

The Dems keep crowing about their cash lead over the Pubbies. Trouble for them is they have to defend more than 40 races they never thought they'd have to.

I predict they're out of cash by October 15th. Dems in Congress will be the walking dead when the last unemployment report before November 2nd is released (the first week in October - September's UE report).

19 posted on 09/04/2010 2:29:58 PM PDT by Night Hides Not (If Dick Cheney = Darth Vader, then Joe Biden = Dark Helmet)
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