Where are you seeing polls that indicate that?
Thursday, October 28th, 2010 | Posted by William R Collier jr
Delaware Election- O’Donnell Surge In Delaware Sets Stage For ANOTHER Upset
Christine O’Donnell set to repeat victory of primary- this time against Chris Coons
Delaware Election, Christine O’Donnell, Delaware Senate Race, Delaware News, Chris Coons
Events on the ground in the first state, Delaware, are keeping pace with the nationwide collapse of the Obama coalition, which looks like another Christine O’Donnell upset over the establishment favorite.
While Gallup predicts a tsunami that will overwhelm the Democrats, which will drag down ALL the Democrat candidates, Hillbuzz reports that the internal polling amongst Democrats is trending towards an O’Donnell surge that could outpace the surge that brought her over the top in the primary against Mike Castle in the last week of that contest.
That’s not all. We have seen reliable polling that shows O’Donnell is within single digits, and Coons can’t break 50%. What is more, these polls rely on a turn-out model that is relatively conservative and, contrary to what pundits think, a much higher than normal turn-out could mean the polls are off by as much as 5-6 or more points. In the primary, most polls showed O’Donnell down by a few or tied, however she won by 6 points, a figure higher than most of the pre-vote polls and outside of their margin of error.