2012 Senate Forecasts—The First Look

self | November 3, 2010 | RobFromGa

[Trod Upon]

3) GOP needs to build a better, more reliable turnout machine.

[RobFromGa]

I am assuming that Specter will be running again probably as both a GOP and Dem candidate in this Senate race...

We need another high-quality PA candidate to win this one.

[goldstategop]

We need to back conservatives NOT RINOs in Blue States. If they don’t have the organization and money, they will fall short. Think Dino Rossi. That guy always finishes a close second!

[goldstategop]

I think Specter’s toast. The Rats hate him and I wouldn’t want to take the turncoat back.

If we find a solid conservative candidate, the Casey seat can be picked up with the right candidate.

[PDMiller]

Stabenow is Michigan's broken glass candidate. I will give maximum time, talent and treasure to send her packing. Dumb as a box of rocks.

[bilhosty]

I don'think Lugar is so safe. The problem like snow is that he could be picked off in a primary with a tea party candidate. The tea party mayor may not be a cinch to win. I don't see any Dem candidates however except maybe for Joe Donnelly who might run as he will likely be redistricted out of office. Also Lugar if he runs will be about 82 yers old and people may think it will be time for someone else. Especially since he voted for amnesty and still pushes the dream act.

It is my impression that Bingham in new Mexico is expected to retire.

[mwl8787]

Amen. The unions were sensational for the RATS in key races yesterday - Reid, Bennet, Quinn and Strickland, for starters.

This problem is not going away and is the #1 danger for 2012. Our new GOP governors in high-union states need to deploy every means to defund and decapitate these organizations. Suggestions welcome.

[surroundedbyblue]

Add me to your ping, please!!

[Mygirlsmom]

D21*) Kohl-Wisconsin. Slightly vulnerable. Who knows? Maybe what happened to Feingold will make him decide to retire...

Mark Belling was speculating that, based on Rusty's unusual "concession" speech if Kohl decides to retire we might get the chance to beat Feingold all over again in 2012, as he thinks Rusty might try for Kohl's seat as long as he wouldn't have to challenge Kohl in a primary.

Could another dream candidate emerge for us? Will lightning strike twice in the same spot? We can only hope!

[mwl8787]

Whoever is recruited against Casey needs to be telegenic and have a ton of money to self-finance.

[surroundedbyblue]

I live in PA so please allow me to rant about Casey.

This guy is such a freakin a-hole (I know, I know - preaching to the choir).

The mood here today is one of solid support for Toomey. People are genuinely happy that he won. I truly believe that if Corbett & our GOP state assembly can turn us around, 2012 will be another solid GOP year in PA. It is my hope that we can reform our state party & get some more tea party conservatives on state committee. Then, we can select, properly vet, and support a tea party constitutionally conservative candidate for US Senate. I am more optimistic about this than ever. Pittsburgh & Philly be damned. They are both black holes of progressivism

[Thank You Rush]

“”I am assuming that Specter will be running again probably as both a GOP and Dem candidate in this Senate race...””

He wouldn’t!!! Would he? Is being in Congress comparable to a drug addict? Hard to break the habit?? I can believe that but hard to believe he’d step back in but hey - when it comes to most politicians, everything they do or think is beyond comprehension.

[mwl8787]

Many people believe Feingold was telegraphing a run against Obama in 2012 - preempting Howard Dean.

[Crichton]

Best opportunities:

Retirements (Bingaman, Akaka)

Ohio - Sherrod Brown vs Rep. Jim Jordan or -?

North Dakota - Conrad/retirement vs ?

Wisconsin - Kohl/retirement vs Paul Ryan

Missouri - McCaskill vs Talent?

Nebraska - Nelson vs Heineman

Florida - Bill Nelson vs ?

Michigan - Stabenow vs Land/Rogers/?

Montana - Tester vs Rehberg

Virginia - Webb vs Allen

[spokeshave]

when the info on Feinsteins husband Mr Blumb gets out Feinstein is toast....

ripping off SF carpenters union

SF airport contracts

Regent of Cal University system and self dealing the investment funds.

etc...

[Mr Inviso]

Feinstein has already stated that she will run again. I only see her gone if God intervenes. She’s getting up there in years, so who knows?

[Crichton]

Don’t actually know who that will be yet, but I have heard several rumors, and I like what I hear.

Pretty deep bench in Michigan. Rogers, Miller, Land, Bouchard, Hoekstra...

[Frantzie]

NY, CA, IL and maybe even WA are facing implosion. Obama has been bailing them out and backstopping them. I doubt the GOP House will allow it.

The idiots in NY, CA, WA, NV, OR and a few others - didn’t get it yesterday.

I hope you are right.

Yesterday was a bit of a sugar high except for NV, NY,CA and a few others. 2012 sadly looks a long way away and we still have the destructive muslim.

[MRobert]

Claire McCaskill has been an Obama cheerleader from Day One. That said, please, please do not encourage Jim Talent to run against her. During his last campaign his main theme was his ability to reach across the aisle and work with Democrats.

She was beatable the last time she ran, but Jim Talent was a horrible candidate.

[ubaldus]

things will not be so easy in the presidential year, since the Obama coalition will be at the polls again.

MA seat is 99% gone, Brown’s election was once in a lifetime fluke. NV is very tough, we just got a reminder yday. By no means an easy hold, and will require a strong candidate (no replays of Angle or Miller, please).

We indeed have excellent chances in red MT, ND (just like yesterday, when Pomeroy was beaten), NE and purple OH, FL, MI, VA, WI. Getting 5 seats for net gain of 4 would be good result in 2012 and give us 51 seat (50 + Lisa).

Of course, if we start throwing away seats by primaring people like Snow or Lugar, this majority will never materialize.