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http://www.mpimaps.com/mapanalysis/crc-draft-congressional-plan/

They’ve given the districts letter codes instead of numbers.

Gallegly R and McKeon R are in the same district.
Issa R and Bilbray R are in the same district.
Chu D and Gary Miller R are in the same district.
Dreier is now in a definite Dem district.
Loretta Sanchez appears very beatable.

Charlie Cook has Gallegly, Bilbray, and Gary Miller losing.
Possibly Miller could move to ONTPM - he’d still be at a disadvantage but much less of a disadvantage than he is in SGVDB.

Other pairs/trios:

Speier D and Eshoo D
Linda Sanchez D and Richardson D
Denham R, Costa D, and Cardoza D (Denham slight favorite)
Sherman D and Berman D
Baca D and Lewis R (seat favors Baca)
Stark D and McNerney D
Becerra D and Roybal-Allard D
Rohrabacher R and Campbell R
Matsui D and McClintock R (seat favors Matsui)
Rohrabacher R and Campbell R
Filner D and Davis D

Eshoo could move to SNMSC; maybe Richardson would move to HTGCC. The IMSAN seat favors the Dems, so maybe Costa would move to it and avoid a primary fight with Cardoza.
SFVET also favors the Dems; Sherman and Berman could work a deal that one moves there.

Lewis appears to be at a substantial disadvantage in SBRIA;
if he wanted to be a team player he could run in RVMVN — if he’s selfish he’ll run in INMSB (a Republican could win in his sleep there).

Not sure about McNerney - I’m thinking he’d be the one to move rather than Stark - STANI (R’s favored) or SNJOA (D’s favored).

There’s no empty district next to ELABH - so not sure what happens to Becerra vs. Roybal-Allard. Becerra probably has better funding.

Not sure about McClintock either - I’d guess he moves to FTHLL or possibly his old home in EVENT.

Campbell could move to STHOC.

IMSAN is more heavily Democrat than CHNCS; Filner and Davis might each *prefer* to move to IMSAN.

Overall R’s appear to gain a seat.