Posted on 06/17/2011 7:15:49 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
The Daily Caller noticed a few days ago that his team hadn’t done anything in Iowa yet, but Perry’s big advantage in having poached Gingrich’s top advisors is that they’d already done work there for Newt. His campaign comes prefab to some extent, in other words; all he has to do is start putting together the pieces that exist.
And here he goes:
Perry’s chief consultant Dave Carney acknowledged in an interview with The Associated Press that he was making inquiries about the political landscape, the caucus process and potential staff in Iowa…
“If you’re going to compete in Iowa, that’s an expensive proposition. You have to have a big field presence there. You have to spend a lot of time there. If you’re going to spend a lot of time there, you have to spend a lot of other time raising money elsewhere,” Carney told The AP. “We’re not trying to fool ourselves or anybody else.”…
“That’s a big thing we’re going to have to discuss with folks in Iowa about the straw poll. How much time there is to be competitive,” Carney said. “All that kind of stuff are things we’re going to start putting together and compiling so the governor can make an intelligent decision.”…
Perry has not been to Iowa since the 2008 campaign when he campaigned in the state for former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani. And don’t expect him to show up before early July. He is scheduled to undergo minor surgery to repair a back ailment on July 1, Perry’s spokeswoman said Friday.
Perry plans to start dialing Iowa GOP bigwigs after Texas’s legislative session ends later this month and don’t forget that he’s got that huge prayer event scheduled for a week before the straw poll, which could help him surge late with the state’s social cons. And he does have a huge opening right now thanks to Bachmann and Pawlenty. Still, seven weeks from the start of July until Ames isn’t much time to go from nonentity to contender. The straw poll doesn’t mean everything (Mitt won it in 2008 and then lost the caucuses to Huckabee), but for a much-hyped guy like Perry who’s preparing to make a Thompson-esque splashy late entry, the results will be used by the media as an early read on his chances. If he flames out, the narrative that he’s a bust will take hold and he’ll have problems trying to come back to win the caucuses. In fact, I wonder if that’s figuring into Palin’s calculations too. Given her name recognition and the social-con base in Iowa, anything less than a clear win at Ames will be used by the media to pronounce her campaign DOA. Maybe she’s better off waiting until late August to get in so that she doesn’t have to deal with it. I’m sure both he and Palin would each prefer to let the other go first in declaring too so that they can watch the reception and have a better sense of whether there’s still room left in the field. One of them will have to bite the bullet and it’ll probably be Perry, but that’s a huge risk for him when he does: Even in Texas, she polls a few points ahead of him. (Obligatory caveat: That poll has an eight percent(!) margin of error.)
Via Politico, here’s his message to conservative bloggers that’ll air tonight at the Right Online conference. The Perry skeptics out there might enjoy this critique at TNR by lefty Ed Kilgore, who argues that RP has always been more lucky than good and isn’t held in especially high regard by Texas Republicans despite his long tenure as governor. Perry fans are invited to direct their angry e-mail responses to Kilgore, not me.
This is going to be fun to watch.
Much depends on whether Sarah Palin gets into the race. No serious candidate can skip campaigning this summer and hope to drop in late.
The talk continues whether it is just speculation or has some meaning of intent on Perry’s part is still to be determined.
As to being "more lucky than good", there is a little truth to that. Winning statewide office as a Republican in Texas is a little like winning statewide office as a Democrat in Massachusetts. It's sort of a given.
However, soundly beating Kay Barely Republican was an indication that he shouldn't be underestimated.
The last thing you want to do after back surgery is go jetting between Austin and Des Moines every week.
That probably depends more upon the type surgery than anything else. It maybe something relatively minor and if so that won’t pose a huge problem if all goes well. Is he still jogging? I don’t know but if so then that would indicate to me it’s not a serious back problem.
Palin is one who dropped Perry’s name as someone she could support
I see Perry entering the race and Palin not- but campaigning for him and becoming a member of his cabinet
Maybe Bachmann as VP?
Don’t know why but I see Perry as firing up the electorate, even conservatives with the right VP, sweeping the out-of-control obama out. If there is a single issue to drive the vote this time it should be get rid of obama. He who knows no law or limit on himself, and no love for America.
Romney is showing himself to be a stiff, the GOP’s very own Algor. He is a personality dud. All ideology aside.
I don’t see such a clear cut result for anyone but Perry
(or maybe Christie but forget that). Dont even know much about Perry, and all ideology aside, just based on gut instinct.
Imagine Perry with Bachmann, Palin and Christie campaigning for him.
The more the merrier.. :-)
Hate to say it but he’d need to lose the southern accent for me. I saw part of his speech at the Lincoln Day Dinner in NYC and cringed.
If someone lost their accent for you wouldn’t you consider them to be sort of shallow and phoney? I don’t like it when people try to talk with different accents to please different crowds. However they talk is how they talk. If we don’t get over trivial things we will soon all be “talking” in Chinese.
I lived in Texas for quite a few years and love Perry. He would give Obama a run for his money. Conservative and his family is very nice. He has a good record in Texas. He would not need a teleprompter to speak. He can do the job, Obama is doing a very poor job.
His accent is no worse than G. W. Bush’s accent, which, in my opinion, is barely noticeable. Of course, I was born in Texas. I don’t mind an accent like his. The accents that get on my nerves are the ones where you actually can’t understand what someone is saying, like Boomhauer in King of the Hill.
Conservative??? cough cough. Good record in Texas?? cough cough cough. You been living under a rock?
Don’t know about you, but I’ve had my fill of ‘former Govs of Texas’ for awhile.
There are legitimate reasons to dislike Perry. This is not one of them.
Long ago bring up the name Bush was taboo around here. When he declared war on Iraq everyone loved him. End of term he was lame duck around here. Perry changes his mind depending on which way the wind blows.
Yes, he's a conservative. Yes, he has one helluva record in Texas. Finally, I've been living in Texas since I migrated across the Red River in 1987. He's very popular here in Fort Worth, and in East Texas, which are very conservative areas.
Maybe you can clear some things up for me. I’ve read about Perry and found that he has a very solid background. I’ve heard him speak and liked what he had to say. But there are always comments on here about the Trans Corridor highway(?) and the Guardasil shot for girls ... what is your take on those two things and why did Perry support them?
So much for your priorities.
Waiting for answer too. Lets see him/her defend that.
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