Question -
how do you see Newt earning 50+ percent of the overall delegates.
I want you to explain this to me. What is his road to the nomination - since Santorum has won in the midwest and Mitt has won in the mountain states and in the north east.
Are you telling me that Newt is going to win GA, TN, AL, LA, OK, etc - and that is going to win him enough to get the nomination?
What’s the path?
I don’t even see a path for Romney to winning a majority of delegates. Romney would have to win 100% of the delegates in all but one of the remaining 23 non-conservative states/territories to win a majority of delegates assuming he won 0% from the 21 conservative states. With all the proportional delegates it can never come out that way, but that’s as good a ballpark count as anything, and it doesn’t add up for Romney. With all 4 of these guys staying in the race, this is going to be decided at the convention. Just look at how few states so far Romney has won with over 50% of the vote...only Nevada with exactly 50%. There aren’t enough WTA states going his way to make up for that. No one has a path to winning this nomination outright, unless perhaps Newt or Rick drops out.