Oops, I didn’t see you had included NV there. The GOP is not carrying NV. Assuming Romney would be the nominee, he would have to get upwards of 300,000 votes in Clark and over 100,000 in Washoe, while Obama would have to get significantly less votes than he got (50,000) in 2008. The Republican Party is heavily fractured in NV and all the different factions will have to unite in full force as they did in 2004 if the GOP is to take NV. At this time, I don’t see that happening. Instead of NV, Romney is playing for NH, which is more suited to him.
Clark like this:
John Kerry John Edwards Democratic 281,767 51.66%
George W. Bush Richard Cheney Republican 255,337 46.82%
Washoe like this:
George W. Bush Richard Cheney Republican 81,545 51.26%
John Kerry John Edwards Democratic 74,841 47.05%
Equals a result like this:
George W. Bush Richard Cheney Republican 418,690 50.47% 5
John Kerry John Edwards Democratic 397,190 47.88% 0
It's Obama's people that said they are playing off the Kerry map, not me.
Angle ran a terrible race in Oct. 2010 and only lost by 41,000, and the outliers (including a "Tea Party" candidate) who won't be on a Nov. 2012 ballot pulled 37,000. Harry can forcibly bus the kitchen help to the polls for himself, but you should read how much Reid has completely soured on Bobo (not the least reason of which is almost assuredly costing Pinky the Majority Leader post this November).