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To: Zuben Elgenubi
"If you are a male, 26 years of age, you have a one in four chance of incarceration on any given day."

Something is wrong with that statistic. If true it means the 26 year old has 75% chance of staying out of jail today. Another 75% chance of staying out tomorrow if he makes it through today. The chance of staying out of jail for a whole week would be .75 x .75 x .75 x .75 x .75 x .75 x .75 = 13%. Continue for a month and the odds of staying out of jail drop to one in 5,000.

12 posted on 03/29/2012 8:27:58 PM PDT by Neanderthal
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To: Neanderthal

I stated “on any given day” with good reason.


15 posted on 03/29/2012 8:34:10 PM PDT by Zuben Elgenubi
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