I’m glad to see Romney with a good lead in CO. If this holds, and he does indeed take Florida and Virginia, then all he needs is any one of either PA, OH, or MI, or a combination of WI and NH, WI and IO, or WI and NV.
I have the race at Romney 257 Obama 237.
I give VA, FL, CO, and NC to Romney. PA and MI to Obama.
That leaves Romney needing 13. Obama needing 33.
States remaining: Ohio (18), Wisconsin (10), Nevada (6), Iowa (6), New Hampshire (4).
Romney has the upper hand. He can lose Ohio and win with Wisconsin and NH. Or (he can even lose Ohio and Wisconsin) and take NV, IA, and the 1 EV out of Maine. Etc.
Obama needs both the big ones: Ohio and Wisconsin, and one other state.