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To: HamiltonJay

O is hemorrhaging among key demographics - the cooked polls I don’t buy.

With internals like that, he won’t win any state in the Midwest (apart from MN and IL) and he won’t win PA.

I think that an 8 to 10 point national win for Romney is pretty realistic.

All the “tied” polls are optical illusions now. In reality, in each of those states, Romney is well ahead.

O isn’t going to win this year, not with the kind of numbers he’s getting.


11 posted on 10/24/2012 7:24:11 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

From your lips...!!


12 posted on 10/24/2012 7:27:04 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: goldstategop
"I think that an 8 to 10 point national win for Romney is pretty realistic."

That's what it 'feels' like and I was pretty close with my instincts in the last 20 years And I dont think they can 'manufacture' 7% votes to overcome. They have tyo invent votes in city districts- for example in NY state there are 4 main cities that swing the entire state, out of some 18 (i think) major areas. That means they would have to have enough dead people voting in those 4 areas to offset A 7% DEFICIT in other places in the state There are some places where turnout was 100% (or more) in the Al Gore debacle, but that came down to a couple of votes. I dont think anyone will be sitting still and taking it if the turnout is 120% in some of these districts, which is what he will have to do in order to overcome a 7% deficit. Am I making any sense? BOTTOM LINE: There is not enough dead people voting to overcome what seems to be a Romney +7 race.

33 posted on 10/24/2012 8:25:40 AM PDT by Mr. K ("The only thing the World would hate more than the USA in charge is the USA NOT in charge")
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