[edwinland]

“Well it’s a cooked poll that massively undersampled independents and oversampled democrats (39D/32R/25I).”

Does anyone know the 2008 and 2004 turnout numbers by party in Ohio?

[Perdogg]

This compares to D +8 in 2008 (Dem 39, Rep 31, Ind 30) and R +5 in 2004 (Dem 35, Rep 40, Ind 25).

[JLS]

The 2010 exit polls were:

Senate: 36 Dim, 37 GOP, 28 Independent
Govenor: 36 Dim, 36 GOP, 28 Independent

[AFPhys]

                   Party ID in Ohio according to exit polls

2004 Bush    Kerry    GOP     Dem      Indy
     50.8    48.7     40      35       25

2008 McCain  Obama    
     46.9    51.5     31      39       30

Kasich (R) defeated Strickland (D) by 49% - 47% in 2010 in the Tea Party wave election. I could not locate exit poll party ID for that election.