Posted on 10/31/2012 4:43:10 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
Call it the Cuban Conundrum—a problem for pollsters who find Florida Hispanics are far more Republican than anywhere else in the nation.
It’s on full display in the latest Florida International University/Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely Hispanic Florida voters showing President Barack Obama clings to a narrow 51-47 percent lead over Republican Mitt Romney.
But nationwide,the poll shows,Obama leads by a far bigger margin among likely Hispanic voters.
The difference in Florida: Cuban voters. Without them, the FIU poll shows,Obama would handily win likely Florida Hispanic voters 65-32 percent.
Not only are Cubans reliable Republican voters—they’re about 70 percent of Miami-Dade’s registered Republican—but they’re also more likely to answer surveys like the FIU poll.
“Cuban-American voters pick up the phone and answer. They want to be heard,” said Eduardo Gamarra,an FIU professor of Latin American studies who conducted the poll with his political research firm, the Newlink Group.
The sheer response rate and strong backing for Romney among voters of Cuban ancestry has cropped up in other Florida polls. Together,the polls could be detecting an unrivaled intensity for the Republican ticket that could help keep Obama from a second Florida win—and therefore a second-term in the White House.
Gamarra,a registered Democrat of Bolivian descent,actually had to scale back the number of Cuban-American respondents in the poll,a process known as “weighting,” hich he prefers not to do.
Gamarra stopped polling in South Florida all together when he concluded the three-day survey last week in order to reach other Hispanics—those of Puerto Rican,Mexican and South and Central-American ancestry.
“Polling Florida Hispanics is extremely difficult,” Gamarra said. “It’s not just a Cuban conundrum,but it’s a Florida and Miami-Dade conundrum.”
Gamarra weighted the poll to reflect a Cuban response rate of 40 percent because Cubans,though they account for about a third of Hispanic voters in Florida,tend to vote in disproportionately high numbers.
(Excerpt) Read more at miamiherald.com ...
Well Hell’s Bells, that’s an easy one. Cuban Americans know what it is like to live in a dictatorship. They know socialism and communism when they see it. It doesn’t take an Einstein to figure out they know that Obama wants to be the U.S. equivalent of Castro.
Cubans fled Communism, so they aren’t as keen to live under it as the Mexicans and other Central Americans, who think living off “the rich man” would be great.
“Well Hell’s Bells, that’s an easy one. Cuban Americans know what it is like to live in a dictatorship.”
Absolutely correct.
“Well Hell’s Bells, that’s an easy one. Cuban Americans know what it is like to live in a dictatorship.”
Absolutely correct.
They also know what it is like to have to listen to some narcissistic a-hole ramble on for hours on end telling them how wonderful things are.
“......[Mitt Romney] will attend “Victory Rallies” at Landmark Aviation in Tampa, the BankUnited Center in Coral Gables and Metropolitan Park in Jacksonville.
Joining him along the way: former Gov. Jeb Bush, U.S. Rep. and Senate candidate Connie Mack IV and Sen. Marco Rubio.
Romney is scheduled to speak at about 2 p.m. at the BankUnited Center.
President Barack Obama is canceling a third straight day of campaigning Wednesday because of the superstorm that battered the East Coast
The White House says the president will not attend events scheduled Wednesday in swing state Ohio. He will remain in Washington to monitor the storm and the federal response.....”
Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/10/31/3075485/mitt-romney-to-campaign-in-tampa.html#storylink=cpy
My corrected reply follows.
Well Hell’s Bells, that’s an easy one. Cuban Americans know what it is like to live in a dictatorship.
They also know what it is like to have to listen to some narcissistic a-hole ramble on for hours on end telling them how wonderful things are.
a.k.a. Peeing on their legs and assuring them it is a warm rain.
I wish more Cubans had influence in the Spanish media and the ability to send the very same message across the rest of America about what they see in Obama and his socialistic agenda.
Remember how the “Cuban” media interviewed Obama?
It wasn’t like the fawning state media he’s used to.
Actually, it was a “Hispanic” round table discussion (inquisition).
Daah, they’re Cuban Hispanics, not Mexican... they had to cross an ocean to get here, and once here, they became American citizens, the right way (for the most part)... they EEAARRNNed it!! Cuban Americans have true American pride... La-Raza illegals despise America and want American taxpayer money to support their cause and political conquest... there is a difference...
The MSM thinks “Hispanic-ness” should trump everything. Why SHOULD the exiled Cuban middle-class have that much in common with the illegal-immigrant Mexican working-class and underclass?
Puerto Ricans tend to lean democrat. But what really drives down the polling is Mexican Americans. Very democrats and VERY numerous.
It’s always amazing to me that idiots think they will be able to get everything funded by the “rich people”, after the communists kill all the rich people off. Well, that’s the bell curve in action I guess.
People who flee communism vote overwhelmingly Republican. Cubans in Miami, Vietnamese in Orange County CA, eastern Europeans and Russians in NY etc.... They know what communist propaganda speech is when they hear it. And they are hearing a lot of it from O.
The White House says the president will not attend events scheduled Wednesday in swing state Ohio. He will remain in Washington to monitor the storm and the federal response.....”
If the truth were known he is lining up lawyers to attempt to steal the election with fraudulent votes.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.