I really think at this point it no longer matters which of the many swords hanging over our heads will be the fatal one. What matters is *when* that sword is actually going to drop, and that’s what I wish all the prognosticators would focus their analyses on. Naturally no one wants to put out a hard date, since that’s essentially impossible, but knowing to some degree just how close we are to the edge of the cliff would be beneficial.
I really think at this point it no longer matters which of the many swords hanging over our heads will be the fatal one. What matters is *when* that sword is actually going to drop, and that’s what I wish all the prognosticators would focus their analyses on. Naturally no one wants to put out a hard date, since that’s essentially impossible, but knowing to some degree just how close we are to the edge of the cliff would be beneficial.
Wouldn’t a careful watch on those who are “nominally” in-the-know be a good idea? In the sort of “They are all bugging out of town for unnamed destinations” sort of way.
There is not agreement on a sword’s existence nor danger
There are many men with diverse expertise. They get on their soap boxes and pronounce the gospel as they see it. There are fundamentalists, chart guys, stock guys, bond guys , gold bugs, gold bears, income guys, growth guys and value guys.
The market is however the only true indication of the market. The trend line is the indicator of the collective thought. The day to day change is not the real indicator.
Then the trend line must be interpreted. That is if you invest, you must put your money where your mouth is.