Nah, nothing in the water.
You just had a bright kid who was a rising conservative star become consumed by the Beltway. He's well on his way to being a high-paid lobbyist after his defeat next year, so he doesn't give a rat's rear about the base anymore.
http://www.msnbc.com/martin-bashir/meet-the-man-who-plans-challenge-paul-ryan
This guy is going to beat Ryan?
Democrat Rob Zerban announces run for Congress