That's not inspiring confidence...
If the death toll from this secondary wave (from sawyer) goes beyond any ONE person they have already identified then the cat is out of the bag already.
If the total death toll(now at 940- up from 740 a few days ago) goes over 5000, it is very very bad. After a point there is not enough resources to isolate AND try to identify anyone else who came into contact with them
I don't know what that critical mass is... I just did some math.
1 first person
27 next wave
729 third wave
Multiply by 27 each wave and you reach 10 billion in 141 days
And keep in mind that they knew they were dealing with ebola from person 1
The doctors who say not to worry because you need to have 'intimate contact' with bodily fluids are full of $hit
If it was that hard to catch they would not be isolating patients AND people who just had contact with them, and wearing containment suits to treat them
And even WITH the knowledge and prevention methods TWO US health care workers still contacted it (and Odumbass allowed them to fly to the USA)
keep a close eye on this
Make sure you have water supply stocked up at home and canned food - your freezer will be useless after one week
don't skimp on defense
I love a good conspiracy, and got a giant sized kick out of Dec 21 2012 scare, but never took it seriously. This I am watching DAILY for updates (and already making just-in-case purchases)
I like your method, but you are using the wrong statistic.
Apply your math to the CASES number, and then see what you come up with.
The CASES number is the one that’s important.
Being prepared with food and water is good, but imho the difficult thing is willingness to stay home if that time comes. When we have first confirmed cases in the US the virus will spread quickly but people will not immediately display symptoms; that means the risk will be everywhere within a small window of weeks, and the only way to be safe is to stay home. How many people will risk their jobs, in this environment, to stay home before the threat is obvious, at the scorn and mockery of their employer no doubt. ("You are panicking, it's just a few isolated cases, if you stay home you're fired.")