Nate Silver has Landrieu at only a 27% chance to hold this seat. This is a must win for us.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/
I hear Cassidy is not perfect, but who is? We have to keep moving in the Right direction.
Silver also has us as an almost 64% chance to gain the majority. From his site:
“The Republicans’ edge comes from an abundance of opportunity. They are almost certain to win the Democratic-held seats in Montana and West Virginia, and very likely to do so in South Dakota. That gives them three of the six seats they need. Beyond that, they have few guarantees but a lot of good prospects:
Republicans are slightly favored, though far from certain, to oust Democratic incumbents in Louisiana and Arkansas.
Four more Democratic-held seats — in Alaska, Colorado, Iowa and North Carolina — rate as tossups.
While Democrats are favored in Michigan and New Hampshire, Republicans retain some chances to win those states as well.”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
So, according to Nate, we need to gain six. Three are likely - MT, WV, SD. We likely lose no contested seats. LA is critical - all the close races are. GOTV.
And pray without ceasing.
“I hear Cassidy is not perfect, but who is? We have to keep moving in the Right direction.”
This is Cassidy’s conservative record, which is why the Establishment got behind him.
Cassidy - 69%(Average) - 60%(Heritage) - 64%(CFG) - 80%(ACU) - 73%(FreedomWorks)