Let’s hope you’re right. So far, doctors and nurses are dropping like flies and they are failing to contain it, period.
Again, my numbers are pathetically understated.
Yes, understated. But remember what your numbers are based on, HCWs in Africa who are washing and reusing gear that is supposed to be single use. They probably don't wash well between patients and thus spread it to negative cases. And that's just their third world heath care system. A lot of spread is due to paranoia and ignorance, keeping patients at home, washing the dead, etc. The only surprising thing is how little it has spread under other conditions, for example Patrick Sawyer barfing on plane passengers and only managing to infect and kill one other than flight attendants.
His worst case scenario in a crowded plane, airport, city, etc resulted in 20 infections and 8 deaths, but no seondary deaths.