Last Quinnipiac poll puts Hickenlooper behind the eight-ball ("Toast")

Cherry Creek News ^ | Oct. 29, 2014

[Red Steel]

If Quninnipiac polling matches turnout, Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper is toast. And a catastrophically bad performance among men is at cause.

Beauprez Pulls Ahead In Colorado Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Republican Up 21 Points Among Men

Men are going Republican in a big way in the Colorado governor’s race, giving former U. S. Rep. Bob Beauprez, the Republican challenger a 45 – 40 percent likely voter lead over Gov. John Hickenlooper, the Democratic incumbent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Libertarian candidate Matthew Hess has 4 percent, with 2 percent for Green Party candidate Harry Hempy. Another 9 percent are undecided.

This compares to an October 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac  University showing 45 percent for Gov. Hickenlooper and 44 percent for Beauprez.

With Hess out of the race, Beauprez leads 46 – 41 percent, with 3 percent for Hempy. With Hempy out, Beauprez leads 45 – 40 percent, with 5 percent for Hess.

Men back Beauprez 54 – 33 percent, compared to 49 – 41 percent last week. This overwhelms Hickenlooper’s 47 – 37 percent lead among women.

Independent voters are split 38 – 38 percent. Democrats go to the governor 87 – 3 percent, while Republicans back Beauprez 89 – 6 percent.

“Five points down, six days to go. The numbers are tight and the ticking clock is the enemy. Is the wolf at the door for Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper? ” asked Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.

“The gender battle leans Republican Bob Beauprez’ way as a surge of support from men eclipses Gov. Hickenlooper’s once commanding lead with women.”

Just six days before Election Day, 88 percent of Colorado likely voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 12 percent say they might change their mind.

Colorado likely voters have a mixed opinion of Hickenlooper, giving him a split 46 – 46 percent favorability rating, compared to a positive 51 – 42 percent favorability rating last week.

Beauprez gets a 47 – 34 percent favorability, compared to 45 – 39 percent last week.

Hess and Hempy remain largely unknown as 89 percent of voters don’t know enough about Hess to form an opinion and 87 percent don’t know enough about Hempy.

From October 22- 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 844 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

[SaxxonWoods]

Here’s hoping from the Colorado mountains that the rest of the state is coming to its senses.

Votes in so far in my county, 9,740 ballots, mailed, 3,100 returned as of 3 days ago:

Republican 1,715
Democrat 672
Indy(me!) 693
Libertarian 16
Green Party 5
Am Constitution 3

[KC_Conspirator]

A 6 point swing in a week, towards the Republican. Just like WI and other states. This is the time where polling companies have to show their real poll results, to maintain credibility.

[Red Steel]

Many are waking up.

From Wednesday, Rs picked up about another 10,000 ballots over Dims from 85k to 95k statewide.

Magellan Strategies got a hold of the latest Colorado ballot returned data 30th Oct:

http://media.wix.com/ugd/786786_f0c8459e67db417fbb2ddc841c5a57ea.pdf

[Revel]

Once again.

Watch the final results on election day. If you see a major difference between the polls and the final vote then you will have a very good ideal as to how much of the vote is fraud.

[laplata]

Many are waking up.

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For sure. I am around some liberals on a daily basis. I usually don’t talk to them but can detect that they seem depressed and more zombie-like than ever.

[Balding_Eagle]

Polls don’t mean squat when all ballots are mail-in with a same day registration.

True, but I think these numbers have always been the real numbers.

Until now they were just posting imaginary 'let's support the Democrat' numbers.

Now they have to have real numbers.

[okie01]

Colorado likely voters have a mixed opinion of Hickenlooper, giving him a split 46 – 46 percent favorability rating, compared to a positive 51 – 42 percent favorability rating last week.

Seemingly, all the polls reveal that something devastating has happened to just about every Democrat in the past week.

All of a sudden, they've taken a ten point hickey in some regard.

Underneath it all, something fundamental is going on.

[mountainbunny]

I couldn’t wait to vote against Hickenlooper. I did a little dance at the mailbox when I saw our ballots.