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As U.S. oil tanks swell at record rate, traders ask: for how long?
Reuters ^ | Feb 13, 2015 | CATHERINE NGAI

Posted on 02/13/2015 4:50:48 AM PST by thackney

About half the surplus crude accumulating in tanks across the United States is flowing into Cushing. If the build-up continues at the same rate, some industry officials and sources said, the tanks could reach maximum capacity by early April....

Traders have been scrambling to secure space at Cushing so they can store oil purchased at current low prices and sell it in a year at a profit exceeding $11 a barrel because the oil market has been in a structure known as contango.

In January, crude oil arriving by pipeline and rail into Cushing, the delivery point of the U.S. crude futures contract, jumped nearly 11 million barrels to nearly 42.6 million barrels, the largest monthly build since the U.S. Energy Information Administration began tracking the data a decade ago.

On Thursday, data from energy information provider Genscape showed Cushing stocks rose a further 3.2 million barrels in the four days to Feb. 10, the biggest such increase ever.

Over the past 10 weeks, some 550,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude have flowed into oil tanks across the United States, according to the EIA. That's approximately one-quarter of the current global surplus estimated by OPEC.

...The excess oil will spill over into the wider market, further pressuring global prices that have recently stabilized following a seven-month dive.

The build-up in Cushing has made demand look more robust than it actually is, artificially supporting prices, say traders.

"Once it's full, the market will puke," said one trader...

The swelling of tanks is a reversal from seven months ago, when oil was flowing out of Cushing to sate thirsty refiners on the Gulf Coast, and traders were attempting to gauge tank bottoms rather than tank tops. In July, Cushing inventories fell below 18 million barrels, the lowest value in six years.

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cushing; energy; oil
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1 posted on 02/13/2015 4:50:48 AM PST by thackney
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To: thackney

2 posted on 02/13/2015 4:52:03 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

Sounds like a false dawn for Brent crude.


3 posted on 02/13/2015 4:52:07 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: thackney

The last time I read, the US didn’t have nearly enough storage space for strategic reserves. Has anyone built any?


4 posted on 02/13/2015 4:52:31 AM PST by yldstrk
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To: Zhang Fei

Bigger impact to WTI trading than Brent...


5 posted on 02/13/2015 4:52:52 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

Near me local pump prices are up over 30 cents a gallon in the last 2 weeks.

That’s well over a 15% jump.


6 posted on 02/13/2015 4:55:08 AM PST by Iron Munro
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To: yldstrk
US didn’t have nearly enough storage space for strategic reserves. Has anyone built any?

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserves is separate from commercial/private storage.

The US SPR is 95% full.

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7 posted on 02/13/2015 4:55:09 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney
Cushing inventories fell below 18 million barrels = A ten day supply.
8 posted on 02/13/2015 4:57:28 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: yldstrk
In 2008 Pelosi was telling Bush to release oil reserves to lower fuel prices.
Boehner at that time said that the Dems were admitting that saturating oil into
the market would lower pricing. He was right but the RATs were caught in a
conundrum by their supporters and they were pissed for RATs admitting that.

I remember before that there was a story about storing oil off shore in tankers.
I never followed up on it but I do watch the market sometimes.

9 posted on 02/13/2015 5:00:01 AM PST by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
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To: thackney
and it the price doesn't go up as much as they expect, how much $$$$$ will they lose in storage costs???
10 posted on 02/13/2015 5:00:49 AM PST by Chode (Stand UP and Be Counted, or line up and be numbered - *DTOM* -w- NO Pity for the LAZY - 86-44)
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To: central_va
Total US commercial stocks:


11 posted on 02/13/2015 5:01:29 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney
Bigger impact to WTI trading than Brent...

Why the vast differential? Wouldn't competition between domestic users for WTI narrow the gap significantly?

12 posted on 02/13/2015 5:01:56 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: central_va

Is that 10-day supply for National purposes or our Defense use?


13 posted on 02/13/2015 5:02:33 AM PST by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
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To: Chode
The key for those is not to get greedy holding out for more, but to sell the future today and lock in that price.

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14 posted on 02/13/2015 5:05:40 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Zhang Fei

Pipeline bottleneck getting oil out of Cushing. That capacity is maxed out now at current use.


15 posted on 02/13/2015 5:06:36 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: MaxMax
In 2013, the United States consumed a total of 6.89 billion barrels of petroleum products, an average of 18.89 million barrels per day. This total includes about 0.32 billion barrels of biofuels.

Actually it is a one day supply!

16 posted on 02/13/2015 5:06:48 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Iron Munro

same here in north east FL. They take time to go down but sure as hell they jump up quick on the prices.


17 posted on 02/13/2015 5:07:56 AM PST by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: central_va
an average of 18.89 million barrels per day

That number is total liquid fuels, including Natural Gas Liquids, etc.

Refined product from Crude Oil is 16.6~17.2 MMBPD.

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_cons_psup_dc_nus_mbblpd_m.htm

18 posted on 02/13/2015 5:11:03 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: yldstrk

“....... the US didn’t have nearly enough storage space for strategic reserves. Has anyone built any?”..

The “storage” is underground in the wells, exactly where odumbo wants it to remain.


19 posted on 02/13/2015 5:18:32 AM PST by DaveA37
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To: yldstrk

“....... the US didn’t have nearly enough storage space for strategic reserves. Has anyone built any?”..

The “storage” is underground in the wells, exactly where odumbo wants it to remain.


20 posted on 02/13/2015 5:18:43 AM PST by DaveA37
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