[FewsOrange]

61 for majority

Likud (Netanyahu)- 27 seats
Jewish Home (hard right)-8
Torah Judaism (ultra-Orthodox)-7
Shas (ultra-Orthodox)-7
Yisrael Betenu (hard right)- 5
54

Kulanu (centrist)-10
10

Yesh Atid (centrist, but opposed to the religious parties)-11
11

Meretz (hard left)-5
Zionist Union (Herzog/ Lipni)- 27
Joint List (Israeli Arabs)-13
45

[Lurking Libertarian]

Bibi can form a government with the hard right and the ultra-Orthodox, but only if he also makes a deal with Kulanu (doable). Yesh Atid would ordinarily join a coalition with Bibi, but not if the Orthodox parties are in it. (Yesh Atid is basically a single issue party, and that issue is to end the draft exemption of the ultra-Orthodox "rabbinical students").

Zionist Union can form a coalition only if they include Kulanu and Yesh Atid (doable) and the Arabs (not doable).

So there are only two possible scenarios at this point: a Netanyahu-right wing-ultra Orthodox- Kulanu coalition (most likely), or a "national unity" coalition of Netanyahu-Zionist Union-Kulanu-Yesh Atid, leaving the hard right, hard left, Arabs and ultra-orthodox in the opposition.