Under the 2002-12 lines in the 9th, Bush got 32% in 2004 and McQueeg got a whopping 26%.
And McQueeg was 30% under the new lines so I estimate Bush at 36%.
Neither math nor grammar is my forte. ;d
“Under the 2002-12 lines in the 9th, Bush got 32% in 2004 and McQueeg got a whopping 26%.”
Curiously, to add, I thought those numbers sounded familiar to another 9th district. Memphis’ TN 9th is just a few clicks difference. Bush got 30% in ‘04 and McCain got 22% in ‘08. Of course, unlike in IL-9, this district was Republican in the more recent era, having been GOP from 1967-75 (absent Watergate, the incumbent Dan Kuykendall would’ve lasted until 1977, but a special redistricting done for 1976 would’ve done him in). Senior Ford got a scare in 1994 by a Black Republican which was enough to cause him to retire and groom his son for the Presidency which went nowhere.
The demographics in TN-9, however, shifted dramatically, since it was a half and half district until about 1976. Had Whites not moved out en masse (creating the suburban areas in No MS), it might still be competitive. It was 63% Black, 27% White in 2010. Contrasted with IL-9, which was 61% White in 2010 under the old lines (with the remainder being 14% Asian; 13% Hispanic & just 10% Black). If IL-9 didn’t feature wealthy leftist moonbats amongst its White pop, the seat would probably be Republican.