Its four months to February and its an eternity in politics. If Trump is still up double digits by January, we have something to talk about.
Check out #3 post and get back to us.
Yes it is an eternity but Trump certainly has weathered the worst that could be thrown at him also he’s clearly managed to consolidate his early lead and move into a new phase. Through the end of the year he is doing exactly what I’d do from a marketing standpoint. He’s contracting with non political ad agencies to sell his brand which is something he knows how to do. He’s also going to bring his family on the campaign trail with him plus he will continue to drop policy papers proving even more so his credibility.
I don’t see time as being anything but an asset for Trump. I do think that his biggest risk will be in the period of time between the first primaries and Super Tuesday because that is the time when we are likely to see donors re-evaluate their support for Jeb Bush and make a final decision on whether they will consolidate behind Rubio. I think Rand will be out of the race by then. Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina will determine if there is going to be a reshuffle before Super Tuesday. I don’t see how Jeb manages to keep his supporters if he doesn’t have a top 3 showing in the early primaries. Once he and Rubio lose Florida and Kasich loses Ohio they GOP-E are going to be a very bad place. That said I think if it comes down to a race between Trump and Carson they will ultimately support Carson. If Cruz can win Texas and Rubio, Bush, and Kasich don’t win their states he will have a chance to rise in their absence. Cruz needs to place in the top tier in Iowa and South Carolina before Super Tuesday to remain credible.
I think it is very likely that Trump or Carson will ultimately be the nominee if they do well in the early primaries. I think Cruz will be in a strong position with Trump to be a running mate but it will be extremely tempting for Trump to simply add Carson to his team provided Carson holds together till the end. The problem is that once the board begins to reshuffle it will be hard to determine how long a 2nd place or third place contender can manage to hold his or her support.
Its four months to February and its an eternity in politics. If Trump is still up double digits by January, we have something to talk about.
you are right but he is managing the whole show.
The every MSM mouth have been chattering like belt fed machine guns since 6/2015, while DC's candidates have imploded in chaos. This is big league political history here whether you think so or not.
Cheer up.☺