He WILL get the votes, just as Perot proved it was doable to reach people that normally do not vote. Tens of thousands of people do not line up in the New England winter if they are also not going to vote for him.
The idea that Trump can’t get his voters out, based on the voting history of those people, is simply the latest idea to try to bring him down. Of course it won’t work. For completeness, put Jeb or any other Open Borders Republican (Rubio, Christie, Carla, etc.) on the ballot and the Libs will get the turnout that they’re (falsely, and knowingly) projecting for Trump. They know those guys will be a REPEAT of Romney, if not worse.
It will be worse. I voted for Romney. I will vote for Cruze or Trump. Period. I already know Hillary thanks me. Obama thanks me. The Democrat Party thanks me. The WCTU thanks me and do on.