I just read some tweets that indicate Turkish tanks have crossed the Syrian border.
They are gonna get their asses kicked.
Could you please provide the link to the article, rather than a link to the front page of his website? Thanks.
Syria and Russia have both announced on several occasions that their intent is to establish Assad's control over all of Syria.
There will be not political partition and the de facto partition will only last until the revitalized Syrian Army shows up with Russian Air.
The Sunnis are the "standard" Muslims of the world.
However, Iran is a SOLID Shia Muslim enclave. There were/are many Shia Muslims in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia as well. My boss (with ARAMCO) was one, as were many of the men in our department.
I'm not sure that they would go to war over it. This breach happened in 632 so they've had MUCH TIME, say 1,300+ years, to "get over it."
Personally, I would guess that it would be over power.
By the way, if it ever came to war my money would be on the Turks. They are ferocious fighters, a la the Indian Sikhs. The Arabs would run.
I wonder if the Iranians would get involved. The Saudis against the Iranians would be popcorn time.
The Saudis also have ABM defense systems—the western kind, the kind that work.
Turkey and Russia have gone at each other many times going back to the time of the Tsars. The army knows that going after Russia is a bad idea.