Posted on 03/22/2016 12:22:52 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
Donald Trump was the clear favorite in today’s winner-take-all Arizona primary, even before the Brussels terrorist attacks. The immigration issue and the flood of early voters favors him, as does the fact that some of those early voters will have cast ballots for Marco Rubio before he dropped out last Tuesday night. If they had known Rubio would no longer be a candidate, many of those voters might have gone with Cruz.
But polls have been tricky and often erratic this year (think Michigan and the surprise win of Bernie Sanders). For example, the latest poll showing a 14 point Trump lead appears to oversample Phoenix voters (59 percent of state’s population vs. 73 percent of those polled). Trump outperfoms his statewide average in the Phoenix area. The Washington Post reports that “Cruz could definitely score an upset in Arizona.” If that happens or Cruz comes very close here will be the relevant factors, according to the Post.
Cruz has a superior ground game. Neutral observers say his team is a lot more organized than Trump. His state director elected many Republican members of the legislature.
It’s a closed primary, meaning only Republicans can vote. Trump has struggled in closed primaries.
Cruz has scored a bunch of late endorsements: Rep. Matt Salmon announced his support last night.
Cruz is still perceived as strong on border security.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
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Of course a vote for Cruz is a vote for Hillary. Cruz can’t win FL and OH.
Cruz Bot will you drop out tonight when Arizona gives it's 55 Votes to Trump?
Polls are not “tricky”, they are rigged to give the result the pollster wants.
Trump can’t even win in conservative Utah!
Poll: Trump Would Lose UTAH to Hillary
http://www.redstate.com/leon_h_wolf/2016/03/20/poll-trump-lose-utah-hillary/
According to witnesses, some of Cruz’ supporters were involved in the attempt to shut down Trump rallies in AZ over the weekend. Cruz supporters were also involved in the Chicago rioting. Good ground game there, Teddy.
Cruz will have a problem getting to 220 elctoral votes in November, let alone 270.
Trump will win by double digits in Arizona, and when he does it will be written off as “expected” by everyone now saying look for a Cruz upset.
Hah, Cruz can’t even win in the Bible belt south.
I don't vote for candidates because a member of their team knocks on my door or leaves a vm. Ground games were once necessary before Trump and candidates needed to get people to the polls GOTV efforts. Today, people line up around the block to vote for Trump and turnout is up 50%.
So if someone cast an early ballot, then their candidate drops out, do they get to change it?
No worries for GodGunsGuts. His support for Cruz indicates that he advocates, lies, intimidation, unethical behavior and partnerships with Moonbats like Beck.
And Trump can’t win a national election.
“Cruz has scored a bunch of late endorsements: Rep. Matt Salmon announced his support last night.”
Too late. 2/3rd of the vote was already cast before today.
He should be better organized since he has the establishment helping him and he is the establishment guy
Cult infested Utah.
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