I am in Florida as well. I don’t agree with you. Remember that Obama won Florida twice, and it’s a whole lot more Blue today than it was when Romney lost Florida in 2012. The reality is that whoever wins Florida wins the election. The fact that Trump won the Florida primary doesn’t mean he could win Florida in the general election. He wasn’t running against Hillary in the primary, and the Democrats were not voting in the GOP primary.
The better point (which you don’t discuss) is that Cruz may or may not be able to beat Hillary in Florida for the same reasons. Sabato’s analysis only looks at Trump. I would like to see how Cruz would do.
where are you , because here there is no one for cruz at all. As I druive around the state I find most are for Trump
Cruz never even won a single county and lets look at the figures.
.FLorida......Trump. 1,079,741 -cruz 404,804 ... 45.72% - 17.14% ..... +647,937 Trump
He did not even get a county, nor even half a million. cruz would never win this state.
Not winning FL is a loss and a win to Clinton.
Same in Tennessee. In closed primary’s Cruz leads, in open primaries it’s Trump. Tennessee was an exception as we are closed Primary’s. Cruz dropped the ball here by not showing up in the western end, he stayed mostly in the Red end of the state not the Bible Belt part. But we had a TON of DEM re-registering as Republicans in record numbers. Who will re-register as Dems before Nov. Memphis and Nashville always go DEM. Demographics. The counties can’t out vote these 2 cities. Population is not equal. Which is why Shelby CO is mostly Dem controlled at the city and county levels.
Even the “tiny Towns” which have their own government are GOP except for a few.
It took us since Reconstruction to turn the legislature Blue. Governors have come and gone both ways. This is one of the few times 2 branches are Blue, judicial is red left over from past administrations. And it is a Retain or Not retain vote and they show up on both dem and gop ballots and you have no idea what party they are. They do not campaign. I just vote NO RETAIN on all of them since I don’t know party.